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US Dollar Technical Analysis: Stalling Near Monthly Lows

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Talking Points:

The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index selling slowed near monthly lows after three days of aggressive downward momentum. Near-term support is at 11950, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% level at 11899. Alternatively, a turn above the 38.2% Fib at 12000 clears the way for a test of trend line support-turned-resistance at 12034.

Our long-term fundamental outlook calls for a broadly stronger US Dollar against its major currency counterparts. With that in mind, we are holding long via the Mirror Trader US Dollar currency basket.

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Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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