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New Zealand Dollar Outlook, Losses to Resume? NZD/USD, NZD/JPY and NZD/CAD

Daniel Dubrovsky, Contributing Senior Strategist

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New Zealand Dollar, NZD/USD, NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD - Technical Forecast

New Zealand Dollar Technical Outlook

The New Zealand Dollar may be readying to extend losses against the US Dollar after a potential ‘Dead Cat Bounce’. NZD/USD reinforced support around the 0.6923 – 0.6943 zone last week before climbing to 0.7095. A bearish crossover between the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) warn that the near-term bias may favor the downside. Extending February’s top does entail taking out the highlighted support zone. That would expose the 0.6798 – 0.6756 inflection zone thereafter.

NZD/USD Bullish
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Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 3% 17% 9%
Weekly -14% 34% 2%
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NZD/USD Daily Chart

NZD/USD Chart Created in TradingView

The New Zealand Dollar is also looking vulnerable against the Japanese Yen. NZD/JPY may be attempting to resume May’s top after breaking under a bearish Rising Wedge chart pattern. Now, a bearish crossover between the 20-day and 50-day SMAs are offering further arguments to the downside. That would likely place the focus on the 76.225 – 76.666 support zone before facing the March low at 75.63. Otherwise, a push above the SMAs may open the door to revisiting the May high at 80.182.

NZD/JPY Daily Chart

NZD/JPY Chart Created in TradingView

The New Zealand Dollar may continue to consolidate in a downward direction against the Japanese Yen. That is because NZD/CAD appears to be trading within the confines of a bullish Falling Wedge chart pattern. Prices could bounce again off the 0.8577 – 0.8631 support zone, climbing to the ceiling of the wedge. This is as positive RSI divergence shows that downside momentum is fading, which can at times precede a turn higher. Otherwise, breaking lower exposes the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 0.8519.

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NZD/CAD Daily Chart

NZD/CAD Chart Created in TradingView

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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