NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Kiwi Dollar Rebound Brewing Ahead?

NZD/USD Technical Strategy: FLAT

• NZ Dollar on the cusp of the worst losing streak in nearly 3 years
• Daily, 4-hour chart hint a corrective bounce may be in the works
• Looking for recovery to yield an opening to enter short position

The New Zealand Dollar is on the cusp of the worst losing streak in nearly three years but a corrective bounce may precede further weakness. Prices have fallen for eight consecutive to meet support at 0.7049, the 50% Fibonacci expansion. A daily close below that exposes the 61.8% level at 0.6957.

An inverted Hammer candlestick above this barrier warns of indecision and a look at shorter-term positioning reinforces the case for a bounce. The four-hour chart reveals positive RSI divergence as prices drift below the 0.71 figure, hinting at ebbing downside momentum that may precede a corrective upswing.

With that in mind, opting to wait for a bounce to look for selling opportunities seems prudent. Back on the daily chart, the first layer of significant resistance comes in at 0.7140 (38.2% Fib, channel floor), followed by the 23.6% expansion at 0.7254.

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--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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