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Gold Drops Below 1200 Anew, SPX 500 Threatens 2-Month Uptrend

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Continues to Push Upward, Setting Monthly High
  • S&P 500 Declines to Challenge Two-Month Uptrend Support
  • Gold Drops Below $1200/oz, Crude Oil Back at Range Floor

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices re-accelerated upward, advancing to the highest level in a month. Near-term resistance is at 11960, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 76.4% level at 12037. Alternatively, a turn back below the 50% Fib at 11898 clears the way for a test of the 38.2% retracement at 11836.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices turned sharply lower, moving to challenge the rising trend in place since mid-March. A daily close below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 2100.00 exposes the 50% level at 2088.60. Alternatively, a move above the 23.6% Fib at 2114.20 targets the 14.6% retracement at 2122.90.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices accelerated downward anew, with sellers claiming a foothold below the $1200/oz figure. A close below range support at 1178.09 exposes the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 1169.31. Alternatively, a rebound above the 23.6% level at 1193.38 targets trend line support-turned-resistance at 1204.98.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices remain locked in a choppy consolidation range below the $70/barrel figure. A daily close below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement exposes the 38.2% level at 60.27. Alternatively, a move above trend line resistance at 66.40 targets the May 6 high at 69.60.

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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