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Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD Aims to Break 1.280

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USD/CAD Technical Outlook: Neutral

  • USD/CAD Aims higher after the release of a US, Canadian employment data
  • US Dollar strength limits Canadian Dollar gains
  • Will oil prices continue to support CAD?
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The loonie has recently remained under pressure against the greenback after the release of US, Canadian employment data, driving prices above the 1.270 handle.

Although a positive NFP report and negative Canadian employment data limited USD/CAD losses, allowing bulls to regain confidence over the trend.

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Although fundamental factors continue to drive risk sentiment, additional catalysts for price action include commodity prices and the upcoming inflation data.

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis

After two consecutive weeks of gains, USD/CAD bulls ran into a wall of resistance at 1.2806, the 76.4.% Fibonacci retracement level of the October – December 2021 move.

As buyers and sellers battle it out, the development of a potential spinning top candle on the weekly time-frame is indicative of indecision as prices track the 10-period moving average (MA).

USD/CAD Weekly Chart

Chart prepared by Tammy Da Costa using TradingView

Meanwhile, after breaking above trendline resistance on the daily time-frame, price action temporarily climbed towards the above-mentioned level (1.2806) currently holding as immediate resistance while the CCI (commodity channel index) threatens overbought territory.

If bulls manage to drive prices higher, a break above 1.285 and 1.2900 (a key psychological) leaves the door open for the December 2021 high at 1.296.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

Chart prepared by Tammy Da Costa using TradingView

USD/CAD Mixed
Data provided by
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -12% -11% -11%
Weekly 13% -10% 0%
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--- Written by Tammy Da Costa, Analyst for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Tammy on Twitter: @Tams707

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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