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Euro Shrugs Off Greece Deadlock Despite Seemingly Growing Risks

Talking Points:

  • Euro Shrugs Off Lackluster Ecofin Meeting Despite Rising Greece Risks
  • Kiwi Dollar Gains with Bond Yields, Hinting at Bets Against RBNZ Cut
  • See Economic Data Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App

Currency markets were largely mired in consolidation mode in overnight trade despite seemingly ominous cues from the weekend’s Ecofin meeting in Riga. Newswires suggest the talks broke down amid procedural disputes between Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis and his counterparts, with apparently little time devoted to matters of substance.

The markets’ complacency despite seemingly growing Greece-fueled instability risk is surprising. Perhaps investors are holding out hope for a move to sideline Mr Varoufakis and deal with Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras directly, which some reports suggest may be more receptive to compromise. In any case, the Euro looks relatively unfazed thus far, with prices edging toward the top of their recent range against the US Dollar.

The New Zealand Dollar narrowly outperformed, rising as much as 0.5 percent on average against its leading counterparts. The move played out against backdrop of an increase in the island nation’s benchmark 10-year bond yield, hinting the move may have reflected speculation that the RBNZ will not cut interest rates at this week’s policy meeting.

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Asia Session

GMTCCYEVENTACTEXPPREV
1:30CNYIndustrial Profits (YoY) (MAR)-0.4%-8.0%

European Session

GMTCCYEVENTEXP/ACTPREVIMPACT
6:00EURImport Price Index (MoM) (MAR)0.4%1.4%Low
6:00EURImport Price Index (YoY) (MAR)-2.0%-3.0%Low
7:00CHFSNB Sight Deposits--Low
10:00GBPCBI Trends Total Orders (APR)4Low
10:00GBPCBI Trends Selling Prices (APR)24Low
10:00GBPCBI Business Optimism (APR)1915Low
12:00EURECB’s Constancio Speaks in Brussels--Medium
13:45EURECB Announces Asset Purchases --Medium

Critical Levels

CCYSupp 3Supp 2Supp 1Pivot PointRes 1Res 2Res 3
EURUSD1.06231.07381.08061.08531.09211.09681.1083
GBPUSD1.48151.49751.50811.51351.52411.52951.5455

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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