Oil Price Chart: Crude Rally Rips into Key Resistance - Trade Levels
- Crude Oil prices (WTI) approaching key resistance pivot- rally vulnerable into 60.06/45
- Check out our 2019 projections in our Free DailyFX Crude Oil Trading Forecasts
- Join Michael for Live Weekly Strategy Webinars on Mondays at 12:30GMT
Crude Oil prices are poised to mark a seventh consecutive daily advance today if price closes at these levels with the rally now targeting confluence resistance just higher. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the crude oil price charts (WTI). Review this week's Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this oil price setup and more.
New to Oil Trading? Get started with this Free How to Trade Crude Oil Beginners Guide
Oil Price Chart - WTI Daily
Technical Outlook: In my latest Oil Price Weekly Outlook we noted that the recent reversal price shifted the, “near-term focus higher but keeps the broader advance within the confines of the descending price pattern we’ve been tracking for weeks now… The risk remains for a stretch higher in oil prices with more significant resistance eyed at the 2018 open / 61.8% retracement of the April decline at 60.06/45 – look for a bigger reaction there IF reached.” Crude is now within striking distance with price attempting to mount the 50% retracement / 100-day moving average at 58.56/96.
Why does the average trader lose? Avoid these Mistakes in your trading
Oil Price Chart – WTI 120min
Notes: A closer look at price action shows oil trading within the confines of a near-term ascending pitchfork formationExtending off the June lows with crude defending the median-line early in the week. Initial resistance stands with the 61.8% parallel backed by 60.06/45 – a topside breach / close above this threshold is needed to keep the immediate long-bias viable with such a scenario targeting the upper parallel / 62.44. Weekly open support rests at 57.58 with broader bullish invalidation now raised to 54.80.
Bottom line: The oil price rally is approaching a critical resistance pivot we’ve been tracking for months now at 60.06/45 and we’re looking for a reaction here. From a trading standpoint, a good spot to reduce long-exposure / raise protective stops. We’ll be on the lookout for possible topside exhaustion on a stretch higher into resistance. Ultimately, we’ll favor fading a deeper pullback while within the confines of this formation.
For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy
Oil Trader Sentiment
- A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long Crude Oil - the ratio stands at +1.54 (60.6% of traders are long) – bearish reading
- Traders have remained net-long since May 22nd; price has moved 7.8% lower since then
- Long positions are 1.8% lower than yesterday and 19.6% lower from last week
- Short positions are 3.9% higher than yesterday and 19.6% higher from last week
- We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Crude Oil prices may continue to fall. Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Crude Oil price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.
See how shifts in Crude retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!
Active Trade Setups
- Sterling Dollar Price Chart: GBP/USD Recovery Fails at Yearly Open
- Gold Price Chart: XAU Breakout Testing Resistance at Six-Year Highs
- Canadian Dollar Price Outlook: Loonie Gains Slam USD/CAD into Support
- Euro Price Outlook: EUR/USD Breakout Levels Well-Defined Post-Fed
- Kiwi Price Outlook: New Zealand Dollar Counter-Offensive, First Test
- Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX
Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.