Sentiment

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Data updated in real-time.
Symbol Present %L / %S % COI Sgnl
Table Key
Bearish
Signal
Bullish
Signal
Mixed
Signal
%L 
Long %
 %S
Short %
% COI
Chg. Open Interest %

Our Euro Forecast may Shift as Traders Show Change of Heart

Quantitative analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment.

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Our Euro Forecast may Shift as Traders Show Change of Heart

EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 30.2% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.31 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Apr 18 when EURUSD traded near 1.05975; price has moved 5.7% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 9.6% higher than yesterday and 2.1% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 3.9% higher than yesterday and 5.3% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current EURUSD price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net-short.

See next article in this week’s report: GBPUSD - British Pound Forecast to Continue Lower on Key Shift



Japanese Yen Rally May be Overdone, but Trend Remains Clear

Quantitative analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment.

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Japanese Yen Rally May be Overdone, but Trend Remains Clear

Why and how do we use IG Client Sentiment in trading? See our guide and real-time data.

USDJPY: Retail trader data shows 63.9% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.77 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 17 when USDJPY traded near 113.298; price has moved 3.1% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 13.4% higher than yesterday and 1.0% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 9.1% higher than yesterday and 6.2% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests USDJPY prices may continue to fall. Positioning is more net-long than yesterday but less net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed USDJPY trading bias.

See next article in this week’s report: Spot Gold - Gold Price Outlook Unclear until this Changes



British Pound Forecast to Continue Lower on Key Shift

Quantitative analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment.

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British Pound Forecast to Continue Lower on Key Shift

Why and how do we use IG Client Sentiment in trading? See our guide and real-time data.

GBPUSD: Retail trader data shows 51.6% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.07 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 8.7% higher than yesterday and 40.3% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 8.0% lower than yesterday and 8.5% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests GBPUSD prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger GBPUSD-bearish contrarian trading bias.

See next article in this week’s report: USDJPY - Japanese Yen Rally May be Overdone, but Trend Remains Clear



Australian Dollar Forecast to Rally Further

Quantitative analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment.

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Australian Dollar Forecast to Rally Further

Why and how do we use IG Client Sentiment in trading? See our guide and real-time data.

AUDUSD: Retail trader data shows 40.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.45 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jun 04 when AUDUSD traded near 0.74861; price has moved 0.7% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 18.6% higher than yesterday and 0.4% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 3.9% higher than yesterday and 23.2% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests AUDUSD prices may continue to rise. Positioning is less net-short than yesterday but more net-short from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed AUDUSD trading bias.

See next article in this week’s report: S&P 500 - S&P Remains a Buy until this Changes



Gold Price Outlook Unclear until this Changes

Quantitative analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment.

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Gold Price Outlook Unclear until this Changes

Why and how do we use IG Client Sentiment in trading? See our guide and real-time data.

Spot Gold: Retail trader data shows 69.0% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 2.23 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 5.2% higher than yesterday and 4.5% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 9.5% higher than yesterday and 8.7% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Spot Gold prices may continue to fall. Positioning is less net-long than yesterday but more net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed Spot Gold trading bias.

See next article in this week’s report: AUDUSD - Australian Dollar Forecast to Rally Further



S&P Remains a Buy until this Changes

Quantitative analysis, algorithmic trading, and retail trader sentiment.

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S&P Remains a Buy until this Changes

Why and how do we use IG Client Sentiment in trading? See our guide and real-time data.

US 500: Retail trader data shows 20.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 3.98 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 7.7% higher than yesterday and 18.9% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.2% lower than yesterday and 4.6% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current US 500 price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net-short.

We would nonetheless need a much larger shift towards 'crowd' buying before we called for an end to the much-larger S&P 500 uptrend.

See next article in this week’s report:EURUSD - Our Euro Forecast may Shift as Traders Show Change of Heart



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