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EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 28.6% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.5 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Apr 18 when EURUSD traded near 1.06524; price has moved 10.6% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 16.3% higher than yesterday and 22.9% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 16.4% higher than yesterday and 0.9% higher from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Positioning is more net-short than yesterday but less net-short from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed EURUSD trading bias.
See next article in this week’s report: GBPUSD - British Pound Direction Uncertain, but Trend Favors Gains