Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View More
New Zealand Dollar Surges Against US Dollar, Australian Dollar After RBNZ Delivers 50-Basis Point Rate Hike

New Zealand Dollar Surges Against US Dollar, Australian Dollar After RBNZ Delivers 50-Basis Point Rate Hike

Thomas Westwater, Analyst

New Zealand Dollar, NZD/USD, AUD/NZD, RBNZ, Economy, Technical Outlook – Talking Points

  • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivers a 50-bps hike, as expected
  • NZD surges against US Dollar and Australian Dollar on hawkish hike
  • RBNZ faces supply-side constraints that may require further jumbo hikes
The Fundamentals of Breakout Trading
The Fundamentals of Breakout Trading
Recommended by Thomas Westwater
The Fundamentals of Breakout Trading
Get My Guide

The New Zealand Dollar gained some traction after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a 50-basis point rate hike, which was in line with market expectations. That brought the RBNZ’s official cash rate (OCR) to 3.5%, the highest interest rate for the island nation since early 2015. NZD/USD’s immediate reaction saw the currency pair move higher as traders found relief after a surprise dovish hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) earlier this week. The RBNZ's statement was surprisingly hawkish:

"The Committee considered whether to increase the OCR by 50 or 75 basis points at this meeting. Some members highlighted that a larger increase in the OCR now would reduce the likelihood of a higher peak in the OCR being required."

AUD/NZD was slightly higher in early Asia-Pacific trading but prices reversed lower, putting prices on track to slide for a third session. While risk reversals remain positive for AUD/NZD, indicating more demand for calls on currency futures, the same measure, while still negative, improved for NZD/USD leading up to today’s decision.

AUD/NZD 1-Minute Chart

Graphical user interface, application  Description automatically generated

Chart created with TradingView

Forex for Beginners
Forex for Beginners
Recommended by Thomas Westwater
Forex for Beginners
Get My Guide

Like the United States, supply-side constraints in the economy are forcing New Zealand policymakers to raise rates into restrictive territory, sacrificing real economic growth. Moreover, it’s highly likely that the RBNZ will need to see a significant weakening in the labor market before substantially deviating from its rate-hiking course. That said, determining a terminal rate is clouded by many factors, some—like commodity prices—are outside of the RBNZ’s control.

NZD/USD 1-Minute Chart

Graphical user interface, application  Description automatically generated

Chart created with TradingView

--- Written by Thomas Westwater, Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Thomas, use the comments section below or @FxWestwater on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES