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Market Alerts and Special Reports
by Peter Hanks
Major US Banks Pass First Round Fed Stress Test, Second Round Ahead
The Fed’s annual stress test results Thursday showed all thirty-five major finance firms passed the worst case scenario, but shareholders now await the result of the second round in next week’s CCAR test for dividend and buyback signals.
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by Nick Cawley
Chart Setups for Next Week - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin
The Japanese Financial Services Agency (FSA) has ordered six domestic cryptocurrency exchanges to upgrade their internal auditing processes, causing a sharp sell-off across the market.
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by Justin McQueen
US AM Digest: Crude Futures Rise as OPEC Agree to 1mln bpd Oil Production Increase
OPEC agree to raise production by 1mln bpd, which will represent a real production increase of roughly 600k bpd. CAD soft after lower than expected CPI report.
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by Christopher Vecchio, CFA
USD/CAD Surges as May Canadian CPI Misses by Wide Margin
A much weaker May inflation report from Canada has the Loonie reeling this morning.
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by Justin McQueen
Crude Oil Volaitility Expected as OPEC Increase Oil Production
OPEC’s 174th ordinary meeting takes place today where expectations are for a relaxing of the current oil supply quota’s.
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by Nick Cawley
EURUSD Boosted by PMIs; Trade Tariffs Loom Large
The recent EURUSD rally got an extra uplift today after better-than-expected Eurozone PMIs allayed fears of a slowdown in the single-block, for now.
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by Justin McQueen
EURUSD Firms as Eurozone PMI Suggests Recovery in Growth
Eurozone PMI suggests that Eurozone growth has recovered despite stagnant manufacturing which has been hampered by increased trade war tensions.
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by Nick Cawley
Ripple Price Analysis: XRP Chart Set-Up Remains Negative
Ripple (XRP) continues to press against recent support and a clean break would see the token move back towards multi-month lows.
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by David Cottle
Asian Stocks Mixed As Trade Worries Endure, OPEC In Focus
Asian equity markets put in a mixed performance to round out their week. Global trade worries seem to be driving sentiment but local-index downgrades aren’t helping
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
Japanese Yen Looks Past CPI for Sentiment, USD/JPY Rise Stalling?
The Japanese Yen looked past mostly in-line local inflation data for risk trends as the Nikkei 225 fell at market open. USD/JPY’s rise since late-May may be stalling.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
Asia AM Digest: Sentiment Turns Lower as USD Falls, Yen May Rise
After a couple days of consolidation, sentiment took a turn for the worst as the S&P 500 and US Dollar fell. The Yen may rise if Asian shares echo US losses with local CPI also on tap.
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by Justin McQueen
US AM Digest: GBP Surges on Hawkish BoE, EUR Dips as Italy Appoints Eurosceptics
Sterling bulls have been provided with some hope following the BoE rate decision, after Chief Economist Haldane joined McCafferty and Saunders in voting for a hike.
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by Justin McQueen
Sterling Bulls Offered Hope as Bank of England Raises August Rate Hike Bets
Bank of England kept the Bank Rate at 0.5%, however a more hawkish vote split at 6-3 led to the surge in the Pound as markets repriced an August rate hike, which now sits at 45%
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by Justin McQueen
EURUSD and Italian Assets Fall as Italian Political Uncertainty Returns
EURUSD fell to its lowest level since July 2017 at 1.1508 as Italian assets came under pressure after reports that two Eurosceptic members had been appointed to the finance committee
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by Nick Cawley
Oil Price Analysis: Downtrend Intact Ahead of OPEC
Oil goes into the OPEC meeting on the backfoot as US-China trade tensions and a stronger US dollar weigh. And the chart remains negative with lower prices likely in the short- to medium-term.
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by Renee Mu
Yuan Weakness to Persist on RRR Cut Bets, Trade War; Equity Losses May Ease
Both the Chinese Yuan and equities plunged this week. Looking forward, they may have different fates.
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by Paul Robinson
S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - How Will Markets Repond to Weakness Next Week?
The week ahead holds several key data events on the docket, indices technical posturing beginning to show cracks in the lining again.
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by Justin McQueen
Crude Oil Forecast: Rising Trade War Tensions to Keep a Lid on Oil Price Gains
OPEC agreed to increase output by 1mln bpd to reduce 'over compliance' with the current output agreement. Oil price gains likely to be capped amid rising trade tensions .
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by Renee Mu
US-China Trade War: An Inevitable Conflict and The Impact on Equities, FX
What are the US and China fighting for in this trade war? How will the ‘war’ impact their economies, equities and the currency markets?
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
USD Rise, Trade War Fears to Hurt MYR, SGD, PHP - ASEAN Weekly
ASEAN bloc currencies like the Malaysian Ringgit and Philippine Peso are vulnerable to a rising US Dollar and escalating trade tensions. Meanwhile, the USD/SGD climb may stall.
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by Renee Mu
Yuan May Extend Losses Amid Weak Fundamentals, US-China Tariff Battles
Weak Chinese fundamentals and resumed US-China trade war have the Yuan at risk.
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by Paul Robinson
S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - Fed and ECB Over With, BoE Next
Data in the week ahead is relatively light in terms of ‘high’ impact events, but we still have the BoE to spark GBP and FTSE volatility.
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by Justin McQueen
Oil Prices to Leak Lower as OPEC Look to Switch On Supply Taps
OPEC’s 174th ordinary meeting is set to take place on June 22nd where expectations are for a relaxing of the current oil supply quota’s.
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by Tyler Yell, CMT
Crude Set To Fall Further as View of OPEC Production Hike Firms
Crude oil traded to a one-week high on Friday, but the signs remain that bulls are going to have a difficult few weeks as speculation on production increases from OPEC builds.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
SGD, IDR Look to NK Summit & Fed. USD/PHP Rising? - ASEAN Weekly
ASEAN bloc currencies like the Singapore Dollar and Indonesian Rupiah look to the Trump/Kim summit and Fed rate decision this week. USD/PHP rise to a new 2006 high could use confirmation.
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by Renee Mu
Yuan Eyes on FOMC, China-US-North Korea Relations, Investment Gauge
Next week’s calendar is packed with economic and political events that could drive the Yuan: FOMC meeting, US’ deadline of tariffs on Chinese goods, US-North Korea summit and Chinese fixed assets investments.
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by Paul Robinson
S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - Fed, ECB in Spotlight Next Week
In the week ahead, the big event risks on the calendar are Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and Thursday’s ECB meeting, with the latter potentially having more market-moving potential.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
PHP, MYR & SGD Look to Sentiment, USD/IDR Falling - ASEAN Weekly
Aside from a couple of domestic events, ASEAN bloc currencies like the Philippine Peso and Malaysian Ringgit look to risk trends next. USD/IDR is making downside progress amidst rate hikes.
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by Paul Robinson
S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - Buyers Stepping In On Pullbacks, So Far
In the week ahead, there are risks to markets but they won’t be from a light economic calendar; stocks tested as risk wilts, pullbacks or beginning of declines is the question.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
CAD Faces Volatility on BOC, Can Options-Derived Levels Tame it?
The fundamental picture for the Canadian Dollar hints at more weakness but the technicals suggest otherwise. Will options-derived levels catch USD/CAD either way?
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