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Market Alerts and Special Reports
by Thomas Westwater
EURUSD Gains on German Deficit Report, US Consumer Sentiment Sinks
The US Consumer Sentiment Index printed a 7-month low as consumers worry about increased tariffs and trade war uncertainty. Meanwhile, reports out of Germany reveals willingness to run a fiscal deficit to bolster the economy if needed.
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by Justin McQueen
OPEC Signals Bearish Crude Oil Outlook, GBP Corrects Higher - US Market Open
The Pound is once again firmer amid the corrective pullback in EUR/GBP, while OPEC signals bearish outlook for the oil market
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by Nick Cawley
GBP/USD Price Action Shrugs Off No-Deal Brexit Threats
GBP/USD remains above 1.2100 and is likely to remain there as the pair are on track to make a bullish streak of five higher lows this, despite increased Brexit rebellion noise.
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by David Cottle
Asia Pacific Stocks Mixed As Wary Investors Eye US Bond Yields
Regional trade was short of an overarching theme as the week bowed out, but the Treasury market and next week’s Jackson Hole meeting were much in mind.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
US Dollar May Gain Versus Ringgit Despite Malaysia GDP Surprise
The US Dollar may resume its advance against MYR after Malaysian GDP surprised to the upside. The USD/MYR could rise down the road if trade war fears continue fueling haven demand.
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by Thomas Westwater
USD Firm After TIC Flows, China Trumped as Top Treasury Holder
U.S Net Long-term Treasury International Capital saw inflows of $99.05 billion in June as appetite for US Treasury debt increases, with Japan overtaking China as the top foreign holder of US Treasury securities.
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by Peter Hanks
S&P 500 Forecast: Stocks Threaten Breakdown as TLT ETF Soars
The S&P 500 fluctuated between losses and gains on Thursday before finishing narrowly higher. Meanwhile, investors continued to clamor for safety in bonds.
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by Rich Dvorak
USD/JPY: US Dollar Price Action Eyes Consumer Sentiment Survey
USDJPY forex traders gear up for potentially sizable swings in spot prices with high-impact event risk surrounding Friday's release of August Consumer Sentiment data on deck.
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by Peter Hanks
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Trendline Under Fire as BTC Breaks $10,000
Bitcoin prices are down -13% this week as traders look to pressure the coin toward an important trendline. At present, technical support looks to be the sole factor keeping BTC afloat.
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by Justin McQueen
GBPUSD Outperforming, US Dollar Bounces on Strong Retail Sales - US Market Open
GBPUSD outperforming, however, Brexit risks remain. US Dollar bounces on strong retail sales data, raising likelihood of upgraded GDP trackers.
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by Nick Cawley
Gold Price Surveys Multi-Year High, Silver Price Bullish Consolidation
Gold remains tilted to the upside and is likely to set a new six-and-a-half high soon as global fundamental woes boost the precious metals allure.
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by Dimitri Zabelin
US Dollar May Rise vs NOK if Norges Bank Trims Hawkish Outlook
The US Dollar may rise vs the Norwegian Krone if the Norges Bank scales back its hawkish outlook against the backdrop of slower regional and global growth.
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by David Cottle
Australian Dollar Gains Sharply As Job Creation Smashes Forecasts
The Austrailan Dollar spiked upward Thursday as overall new job gains were revealed to have been 41,000 in July, well ahead of the 14,000 markets had expected.
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by Rich Dvorak
AUD/USD: Australian Dollar Turns to Jobs Data, RBA Cut Odds
The Australian Dollar has potential to target fresh year-to-date lows if the July Australia jobs report accelerates RBA rate cut bets amid mounting fears over slowing global growth.
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by Peter Hanks
Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks Plunge, Traders Await WMT Earnings
The Dow Jones plunged 800 points on Wednesday as an inversion of yet another yield curve, alongside weak earnings from the retail sector, piled pressure onto the recently beleaguered stock market.
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by David Cottle
Sliding Crude Oil Can’t Look to Jackson Hole For Price Support
Crude oil prices continue to drop as the economic data keep huge question marks glowering over likely demand levels.
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by Rich Dvorak
Gold & Volatility Drop, Stocks Rise as Trade War Jitters Ebb
US-China trade war whiplash has damaged risk appetite, but market sentiment could be recovering judging by the latest drop in gold prices and volatility measures as the S&P 500 Index climbs.
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by Peter Hanks
Investors Ditch SPY & EEM ETFs for Gold as Uncertainty Persists
August has been a volatile month for markets following the July FOMC meeting and the US-China trade war escalation. ETF data reveals funds flowed from the S&P 500 and EEM into assets like gold.
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by Dimitri Zabelin and Daniel Dubrovsky
US Dollar and Yen May Rise on Japan, South Korea Trade War
The US Dollar and Japanese Yen may extend gains if the trade war between Japan and South Korea boosts demand for liquidity, though KRW weakness may be stemmed by FX intervention.
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by Justin McQueen
S&P 500, US Dollar, Gold, Emerging Market Outlook: What Happens After US Yield Curve Inverts?
The US Treasury 2s10s curve inverts for the first time since 2007. What does this mean for the S&P 500, US Dollar, Gold and Emerging Markets?
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by Christopher Vecchio, CFA
US Recession Watch, August 2019 - Dark Clouds Gather Over US Economy
There is a 32% chance of a recession hitting the United States within the next 12-months – but that’s before factoring in the US-China trade war flaring again.
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by Christopher Vecchio, CFA
Why Does the US Yield Curve Inversion Matter?
More volatlity in global financial markets has traders looking for a culprit. The bond market may be guilty.
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by Justin McQueen
US Recession Watch - US Yield Curve Inverts, But Panic When it Steepens
The US 2s10s curve has inverted for the first time since 2007, emphasising concerns of a slowdown in the global economy. Focus now on the Jackson Hole Symposium.
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by Dimitri Zabelin and Daniel Dubrovsky
US Dollar and Yen May Rise on Japan, South Korea Trade War
The US Dollar and Japanese Yen may extend gains if the trade war between Japan and South Korea boosts demand for liquidity, though KRW weakness may be stemmed by FX intervention.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
US Dollar Outlook: Rupee, Ringgit, Rupiah at Risk as Capital Flees
The US Dollar may rise versus SGD, MYR, IDR, PHP and INR as the risk of US-China trade war escalation leaves emerging markets vulnerable to capital outflows. Malaysia, India CPI eyed.
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by Dimitri Zabelin
NOK and SEK Brace for Trade Wars, Italy Politics, Norges Bank
The US Dollar may rise against NOK and SEK if US-China trade relations worsen along with increased political risk out of Italy and a gloomier tone from the Norges Bank.
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by Peter Hanks
Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 Forecasts for the Week Ahead
As trade wars and monetary policy look to maintain their position at the helm, markets will be offered insight on another major theme that could rattle fragile sentiment.
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by Ilya Spivak
Crude Oil Prices at Risk as US-China Trade War Sours Growth Bets
Crude oil prices look vulnerable to deeper losses after hitting a seven-month low as US-China trade war escalation sours the outlook for global economic growth.
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by Tammy Da Costa
How to Choose a Good Forex Broker for Your Trading Needs
What makes a good forex broker and how do you choose the best one for your trading needs? We consider the aspects necessary for choosing among leading FX brokers.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky and Dimitri Zabelin
Indian Rupee at Risk After RBI Cut, Kashmir Region Threat
The Indian Rupee looks vulnerable after an unexpectedly large RBI rate cut and a USD/INR break of 2018 resistance. India-Pakistan political tension over Kashmir may push INR lower, Yen higher.
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