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Market Alerts and Special Reports
by Thomas Westwater
USD Gains While Treasury Yields and Consumer Sentiment Slide
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index printed a reading of 97.9 this morning, which slightly missed expectations of 98.0 and last month’s reading of 100.0.
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by Justin McQueen
US Dollar Rises on Retail Sales, Gold and JPY Gain on Safe-Haven Flows - US Market Open
USD firms after robust retail sales, while softer economic outlook boosts safe-havens, gold and Japanese Yen.
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by Nick Cawley
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Probing a Fresh 13-Month High
Recent bullish price-action suggests that Bitcoin is looking to make a new 13-month high above $9,080.
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by Nick Cawley
Euro (EUR) Battles Record Low Euro-Zone Inflation Expectations
The single currency remains under downside pressure as 5-yr/5-yr Euro-Zone inflation expectations hit another record low, leaving the ECB in a precarious situation.
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by Justin McQueen
Gold Price Analysis: Fresh 2019 Highs Sees 5yr Trendline on Verge of Breaking
Gold prices jumped following a break above the YTD high, focus now on a break of trendline resistance that has been in place 2014. Fed decision next week will be pivotal.
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by David Cottle
Asian Stocks Mixed As US, Iran Trade Accusations Over Tanker Attacks
Regional equity had a narrow and mixed session Friday with Middle Eastern tensions back to the fore. Pro-risk currencies struggled much more obviously.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
NZDUSD, AUDUSD Tumble to Support. RBNZ, RBA Rate Cut Bets Deepen
The NZDUSD and AUDUSD are tumbling to support as increasingly dovish RBNZ and RBA monetary policy bets are undermining their appeal, boosting the Japanese Yen as carry trades unwind.
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by Dimitri Zabelin
Trump Trade War Faces Domestic Pressure from US Business
A letter signed by over 600 businesses was sent to the White House protesting the President’s approach to the US-China trade war, urging him to end the economic conflict.
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by Justin McQueen
CAD Outperforms as Crude Oil Soars, AUD Down Under on RBA Rate Cut Risk - US Market Open
Brent and WTI crude futures surge higher, Canadian Dollar the notable beneficiary, while soft Aussie jobs fuel bets on another RBA rate cut.
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by Nick Cawley
Gold Price Outlook Boosted by Renewed Political Risk, Oil Tanker ’Attack’
Gold is on the move higher Thursday after two oil tankers were damaged in an incident in the Gulf of Oman.
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by Justin McQueen
Crude Oil Prices Spike on Possible Oil Tanker Attack in Gulf of Oman
Crude oil prices are sharply higher following an incident in the Gulf of Oman in which two oil tankers are reportedly on fire.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
Nikkei 225 Sinks With Nintendo Shares as ASX 200 Prices Hint Top
The Nikkei 225 dropped alongside Nintendo shares. The ASX 200 may be topping on bearish technical signals. Declines in equities may be ahead after Asia Pacific stocks mostly sunk.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
AUDUSD at Risk, Australia Jobs Data Underpins Another RBA Rate Cut
The AUDUSD downtrend is in focus after Australia’s unemployment rate missed its 5.1% target, fueling expectations that the RBA may deliver another rate cut relatively soon.
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by Peter Hanks
Trade Wars and Tariffs Have Put the US Auto Industry in Peril
With the US auto industry cutting jobs at the quickest pace since the Great Financial Crisis, USMCA uncertainty and a prolonged US-China trade war will only continue weigh on the sector.
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by Dimitri Zabelin
Crude Oil Prices May Seesaw Between Iran Politics, Growth Sentiment
Crude oil prices may find themselves oscillating between political risks in Iran, leading to fears of a supply shock, and waning optimism over global growth prospects.
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by Peter Hanks
Quantitative Easing (QE) Explained: Central Bank Tool for Growth
What is quantitative easing (QE) and how do central banks like the Fed and ECB use it? Learn how QE supplements monetary policy when rate cuts don’t cut it.
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by Peter Hanks
AUDUSD & Nasdaq 100 Price Outlook: Huawei Offers Opportunity
Huawei’s blacklisting saw an immediate adverse market reaction, but as the dust settles, Huawei will begin to feel further pressure – as will its US suppliers.
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by Rich Dvorak
Oil Price Volatility Hints at Emerging Markets Fallout Risk
Volatility in crude oil could lead to contagion in emerging markets if lingering trade war uncertainty and slowing global growth fears persist.
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by Justin McQueen
Boris Johnson Wins First Round of UK Leadership Contest by a Landslide, What Next?
The first vote of the leadership contest shows a commanding lead for Boris Johnson. Next round of voting will take place on June 18th.
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by Justin McQueen
S&P 500, DAX Outlook: Fed and ECB Pivotal to Short-Term Price Action
Calls for the Fed to loosen policy have grown louder and louder, while markets don’t believe the ECB has the fire power to protect against a downturn.
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by Justin McQueen
UK Leadership Contest Timeline: Who Will be the Next UK Prime Minister?
The first vote of the leadership contest will take place on June 13th. As it stands, Boris Johnson is expected the favourite to become the next PM.
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by Peter Hanks
USO & BIL ETF Demand Driven by Oil Recovery, Rate Cut Odds
A minor recovery in the price of crude oil has spurred investors to pick up shares of the USO ETF while an uncertain outlook for the future has spurred demand for short-term debt.
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by Dimitri Zabelin
SEK, NOK Brace for CPI Data, Brexit and European Political Peril
The cycle-sensitive Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone will be on the edge ahead of critical inflation data and increasingly dangerous political peril in Europe.
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by Daniel Dubrovsky
Dollar Drops Versus SGD, IDR on Fed Rate Cut Bets. China Trade Eyed
The US Dollar may extend declines versus its ASEAN peers as bets on a July Fed rate cut increase - markets now eyeing US CPI and retail sales data. China trade is eyed to gauge the impact of US tariffs.
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by David Song
OPEC+ Attempts to Curb Bear Market as Russia Favors Oil Around $60-65
Efforts by OPEC and its allies may curb the recent selloff in the price of oil as the group remains committed in stabilizing the energy market.
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by Peter Hanks
Gold and High Yield Debt Funds See Record Inflows on Dovish Fed
A week after the HYG ETF registered its largest outflow for the year, funds came pouring back in on Tuesday when the fund recorded its largest intraday inflow ever.
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by Peter Hanks
Volatility: The SKEW Index and Stock Market Crashes
The SKEW Index seeks to measure the probability of Black Swan events and stock market crashes, but its track record in doing so is less than stellar.
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by Justin McQueen
VIX Spike Needed to Spur Currency Volatility
Volatility across the rates market has surged as the Federal Reserve opened the door rate cuts, however, this has failed to spill-over into FX, which remains muted.
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by Peter Hanks and Thomas Westwater
Global Growth Fears to Deepen as IMF, World Bank Lower GDP Forecasts
The World Bank lowered growth forecasts while the IMF warned of a potential cut to their outlook as ongoing economic conflicts continue to pressure trade activity and new investments.
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