We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Dollar and Equities Strategy Heading for Fed Decision

Dollar and Equities Strategy Heading for Fed Decision

2016-04-27 01:56:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
Share:

Talking Points:

  • The Dollar's recent volatility - particularly Friday's upside break - may reduce the pressure in a Fed skew
  • A rate hike is unlikely in April but shouldn't be written off; June speculation is the most likely focal point
  • Additional, key event risk may distort the FOMC reaction including UK and US GDP as well as BoJ and RBNZ decisions

See how retail traders are positioned in the Dollar-based pairs heading into the Fed decision or read my 2Q forecast for the USDollar in the Trading Guides page.

Amid a 72 hour deluge of high-level event risk, one particular calendar item stands above the rest: the Fed rate decision. While certainly a key event for the Dollar and US assets, its reach expands far beyond the country's financial borders. The US monetary policy position is the most divergent among the world's largest central banks. This sets the tone in the competitive monetary policy debate that sees accommodative efforts from the likes of the ECB and BoJ - among others - fall under deepening skepticism. It will also carry on its shoulders the whiles of global investor sentiment. Though, delay in normalization is now more likely to be viewed as deteriorating economic conditions and thereby a negative rather than a positive for a little more time at extremely low funding rates. The focus on this event will be on the speculation surrounding a June hike, but don't write off a surprise April move. We focus on the implications and trading strategy around the upcoming FOMC rate decision in today's Trading Video.

To receive John’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.