Strategy Video: Policy Bearings Suggest Dollar, Euro, Yen Growing Extreme
• Next to balance between fear and greed (risk trends), interest rate expectations dominate the FX landscape
• There are three, major central bank policy meetings this week: the BoJ, RBA and BoE
• Expectations may have outrun reality though for the USD on the hawkish side and ECB, BoJ on the dovish
Monetary policy bearings are one of the FX market's most influential catalysts - and in the absence of a definable risk motivation, it has been our primary source of motivation. This week, we have three noteworthy central bank decisions on tap - BoJ, RBA and BoE - but the probability of a material change in policy is low. That doesn't necessarily mean these are non-events. The disaparity in monetary policy amongst these major central banks has led to incredible moves and perhaps even some over-extended positions. We look at the standings for policy expectations - impending rate hike to imminent stimulus - for the majors alongside their trade implications in today's Strategy Video.
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