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Strategy Video: Why Volatility May Return Sooner Than You Think

Strategy Video: Why Volatility May Return Sooner Than You Think

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• Already experiencing a historic slide in activity, we are coming on to the usual July 4 volatility slump

• A drop in the VIX in the week lending into the holiday period is normal...but so is a surge afterwards

• Not only does volatility usually rebound the week after the July 4th, July experiences the biggest jump

Market conditions change, and our strategy should reflect those changes. We have coded the DailyFX-Plus strategies for Breakout, Range and Momentum to adapt to these market shifts.

Volatility, already extremely low by historical standards, is heading into the trough of the 'Summer Doldrums'. What does that mean for trading opportunities next week given an round of event risk that includes NFPs, an ECB rate decision and the quarter rollover? Though fundamentals and technicals will more often defer to market conditions, that doesn't mean activity has been immobilized for the foreseeable future. In fact, history suggests that the period following the Independence Day activity slump usually sees the biggest swell in market movement of any other time of the year. In the weekend Strategy Video we discuss whether the return of volatility is nigh.

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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