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Strategy Video: Strategy For Low and Extreme Volatility Conditions

Strategy Video: Strategy For Low and Extreme Volatility Conditions

2014-05-21 23:40:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

• The VIX Volatility Index slipped below 12% for only the third time in the past 7 years

• Activity levels in the FX and other financial markets are equally extreme

• While these exceptional conditions will eventually reverse, we should think of more timely strategies

Market conditions change, and our strategy should reflect those changes. We have coded the DailyFX-Plus strategies for Breakout, Range and Momentum to adapt to these market shifts.

Volatility readings slid to extreme lows this past session - implying a correction in activity levels and markets may soon be at hand. From the equities-based VIX, a slide between 12 percent draws us to levels only seen two other times in the past seven years. Readings in FX and other financial assets have sported similar elevations. Our natural inclination is to project a reversal to match the magnitude of our current extremes. However, that eventual systemic change may take time and numerous false starts. There are more immediate opportunities for oscillations in activity levels. We look at this situation from a short, medium and long-term perspective while also highlighting the different trade options through the scale in today's Strategy Video.

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