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Forex Strategy Video: Dollar Signaling Collapse on US Debt Relief?

Forex Strategy Video: Dollar Signaling Collapse on US Debt Relief?

2013-10-17 21:29:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• With the US government reopened and debt ceiling lifted, a relief rally for the markets is expected

• A rebound in US equities was realized, but the US Dollar enjoyed none of that strength

• Risk trends are dragging the greenback lower, but there is reason (and precedence) to doubt the drop

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A US debt crisis was averted and the markets were awash in relief. On cue the S&P 500 forged higher as fear lifted, but the dollar ended up collapsing... A market-wide tumble for the greenback contradicts expectations of a relief rally as credit risk for US assets diminishes. This tumble can be partially linked to the strong 'risk appetite' move that has resulted, but this theme draws serious doubt. Furthermore, this market performance looks a lot like the last market jolt following the FOMC's decision to defer Taper last month - a move that quickly fell apart. In today's Forex Strategy Video, we discuss the dollar's bearings and drivers along with options (AUDUSD vs GBPUSD) for different scenarios going forward.

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