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Forex Strategy Video: Measuring Speculative Positioning to Trade AUDUSD

Forex Strategy Video: Measuring Speculative Positioning to Trade AUDUSD

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• The COT and SSI reports are useful indicators for measuring how speculators are positionined in FX

• Where the COT report updates weekly a sets the longer-term picture, the SSI gives intraday measures

• Gauging a build in momentum or possible reversal in speculative positioning can further support a trade

Sign up for John’s email distribution list, here.

The Commitment of Traders report currently shows speculative futures traders are sitting on an extreme, short AUDUSD position. For many, this is a contrarian sign that says the pair is due for a reversal as traders look to exit a crowded trade. However, there aspects of this data that we need appreciate before we incorporate it into our trading. How quickly does this signal act? How do we know it is an extreme? Can we act on this report alone? Speculative sentiment can be a useful addition to your analysis and trading, but only if it is used correctly. In today's Forex Strategy video we discuss how to use long-term (COT) and short-term (SSI) speculative positioning readings in our trading using AUDUSD as our example.

Find the updated SSI figures in DailyFX-Plus and load the COT indicator on your own charts by downloading this FXCMApp.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.