We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.02%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 79.02%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/bg6hp5gM3n
  • Gold on the brink of another big breakout? $XAU $GC_F $GLD https://t.co/0RRauXBIke
  • Overnight index swaps are pricing in a less than even chance (3.7%) of a rate cut from the Bank of Canada at next week’s interest rate decision #CAD
  • #Gold prices may fall while the US Dollar gains even as economic policies championed by the Trump administration invite inflation. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/4lHhHsby56 $XAUUSD https://t.co/vT0Qqh6gy4
  • RT @TheEconomist: The mood in corporate America is darkening https://t.co/dBrDHdUzm4
  • Japan’s Nikkei PMI Manufacturing (OCT P) Actual: 48.5 Est: N/A Previous: 48.9 #JPY
  • The $NZD has attempted to recover against its US namesake as expected but the move may be cut short as sellers reclaim the upper hand. Get your NZD/USD market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/D0LAlHHfuf https://t.co/wBcFhnfcAI
  • Japan’s Nikkei Japan PMI Manufacturing (OCT P) Actual: 48.5 Est: N/A Previous: 48.9 #JPY
  • #USDollar Forecast: #USDBRL Breakout Opening Door to Selloff? https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/analyst_picks/todays_picks/dimitri_zabelin/2019/10/24/US-Dollar-Forecast-USDBRL-Breakout-Opening-Door-to-Selloff.html
  • $USDSGD fell Wednesday despite #Singapore Core CPI missing expectations at 0.7% y/y (SEP), down from 0.8% prior. That was the softest outcome since March 2016. Weakness in #USD as #SP500 futures rose amid US earnings likely accounted for SGD strength - https://t.co/ATsmOqQOc5 https://t.co/2ohbq68ypV
US Dollar, EURUSD, USDJPY & More: Charts for Next Week

US Dollar, EURUSD, USDJPY & More: Charts for Next Week

2019-10-04 11:30:00
Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
Share:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has traded off a bit the last few sessions, but is coming down on support that might put a floor in here soon. On that, the Euro will be set up to roll over and trade lower again as trend and resistance keep the current bounce in as only a corrective move. USDJPY has taken a hit on haven flows as stocks get hit, this is seen as likely to continue…

Technical Highlights:

  • US Dollar Index (DXY) falling into support area
  • EURUSD could soon decline again to a new low
  • USDJPY to see more selling with stocks

See where our team of analysts see your favorite markets and currencies headed in the in the DailyFX Trading Forecasts.

US Dollar Index (DXY) falling into support area

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is backing off a bit after hitting a new cycle high, but the down-move may prove short-lived if rising trend support has anything to say about it. The trend-line in question is coming up from June. Should that break then a larger down-move will be the risk, but let’s first focus on the nearest support and the fact that the trend is still pointed higher overall.

With that said, though, there continues to be resistance in getting momentum running higher, eventually it appears as though USD will get into gear but that is hard yet to say when it will commence. Markets overall appear to be in for some volatility this quarter so that may come sooner rather than later.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Chart (backing down towards support)

US Dollar, EURUSD, USDJPY & More: Charts for Next Week

U.S. Dollar Currency Index (DXY) Chart by TradingView

EURUSD could soon decline again to a new low

The Euro is naturally opposite the DXY as is the anti-Dollar and the largest constituent in the index. The June trend-line is coming up, and with the trend structure negative EURUSD should find difficulty to sustain strength. Look for it to stall, possibly today or early next week, and continue lower to a new low beneath 10879. Inching towards the April 2017 French election gap-fill.

EURUSD Daily Chart (trend, resistance working against)

US Dollar, EURUSD, USDJPY & More: Charts for Next Week

EURUSD Chart by TradingView

USDJPY to see more selling with stocks

USDJPY is taking some heat this week with pressure coming on global equity markets. Haven flows into the Japanese Yen could continue as stocks are set up to continue selling off. For more on this view, check this piece from this morning – Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 Technical Forecast Darkens on Breakdown.

There is support in the current vicinity, but not expected to last. Stay below the trend-line up above and 10847 and USDJPY looks poised to trade neutral to negative. The lows under 10500 look at risk in the not-too-distant future if stocks continue to come off.

USDJPY Daily Chart (turn down at of picking up momentum)

US Dollar, EURUSD, USDJPY & More: Charts for Next Week

USDJPY Chart by TradingView

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or an experienced trader, DailyFX has several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.