We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @GlobalTimesBiz: After more than two weeks of #China’s efforts to resume business activities, only 30 percent of migrant workers has ret…
  • It seems the markets are riding high, but risk is always lurking around the corner. Consider your escape plan before you find yourself in collapsing market. What are the top havens for different conditions in 2020? Find out from @JohnKicklighter here:https://t.co/1oeXWEsJkb https://t.co/c5YVgs5YKD
  • While Sino-US trade jitters are temporarily abating, China-Swedish trade tensions are rising as a part of a political contagion of growing economic hostilities between nations across the world. Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/F1fVoyzoz5 https://t.co/z49NzgZrXd
  • RT @malkudsi: Natural Gas Eyes Pushing Higher as Support Holds - Nat Gas Technical Analysis More details in the link below: https://t.co/HG…
  • As prices dance around on charts, traders are often looking for reasons to explain price movements; however, the underlying source of price movement boils down to the relationship between supply and demand. Learn more about the forces of S&D on forex here: https://t.co/8LfkLXbj2W https://t.co/swcuwAMGAk
  • How can traders avoid #FOMO in trading? Start by implementing a well-heeled plan taking only four hours per week. Get your insight from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/vwUShQPc27 #tradingstyle https://t.co/4adyTWvQ22
  • What are the Market cycles? How are #currencies impacted in these cycles? How can these cycles impact #forextrading patterns? Find out here: https://t.co/ckr2fUOWqW https://t.co/gLJGj1FAOC
  • Central bank independence has several advantages and disadvantages. Find out what they are in-depth with @MartinSEssex here: https://t.co/wVFXbbTxf1 https://t.co/J0MMkVmCUu
  • Get your stock market basics right - what is the stock market and how does stock trading work? Find out here: https://t.co/JfAJLAtlsY https://t.co/ZfPUxHWeiG
  • The Mexican economy contracted for the first time in almost 10 years in 2019, but growth is expected to pick up in 2020 according to its finance minister. Get your $USDMXN market update from @HathornSabin here: https://t.co/gupJdU7WYT https://t.co/mMN8LFb5i5
US Dollar Hits Support, Euro Resistance; DXY, EURUSD Charts & More

US Dollar Hits Support, Euro Resistance; DXY, EURUSD Charts & More

2019-08-06 11:57:00
Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
Share:

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) touched a trend-line extending higher from June, which could induce a bounce in the short-run, but downward momentum could keep the slide going if buyers don’t quickly show up. The Euro is running in reverse and while it is on shaky ground in terms of trend and tone, it could continue a bit higher before a strong resumption of the down-move can continue. JPY made a big move as stocks took a hit, puts it in an extended state in the near-term; waiting to see how the market responds before drawing further conclusions about the next move.

Technical Highlights:

  • U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) trading at minor t-line
  • EURUSD has trend/tone against it, but could trade a bit higher
  • JPY pairs oversold on stocks, watching the response

For forecasts and educational guides, check them out on the DailyFX Trading Guides page.

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) trading at minor t-line

The U.S. Dollar index has been on its heels the past few sessions, with it trading on a minor trend-line off the June low. This could be enough to put in a bounce, but downward momentum was strong which could result in some residual selling soon. Should the bounce prove weak, renewed weakness could take the DXY down to the 200-day/96.70 area.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Chart (small t-line support)

US Dollar Hits Support, Euro Resistance; DXY, EURUSD Charts & More

EURUSD has trend/tone against it, but could trade a bit higher

The Euro has recovered strongly from a one-year underside trend-line where it posted a reversal candle on Thursday. The upside so far has been swift, a minor pullback may result in a continuation to higher levels. That may be about it though, as trend and tone are broadly against EURUSD. On further strength watch the 11300-area where price and 200-day resistance lie.

EURUSD Daily Chart (trend lower, but may go a bit higher first)

US Dollar Hits Support, Euro Resistance; DXY, EURUSD Charts & More

JPY pairs oversold on stocks, watching the response

JPY has seen a surge in buying as the Trade War once again heats up and spooks risk assets, namely stocks. Some of the cross-rates are most oversold at this time, with AUDJPY trading around the flash-crash lows in January and levels from 2010-16. Tough spot for new shorts, existing shorts may want to consider buttoning up risk parameters. Would-be longs have support, but the bounce may only prove counter-trend in nature and thus at risk of failing relatively quickly.

AUDJPY Daily Chart (Extended into Long-term support)

US Dollar Hits Support, Euro Resistance; DXY, EURUSD Charts & More

GBPJPY has been hammered real good, with it now extending into a weekly trend-line from the 2012 low. Like AUDJPY we are at a big long-term line-in-the-sand. Sterling-yen may bounce with the help of oversold conditions and long-term support. Same as with the other JPY pairs, shorts at risk of retracing while longs may prove difficult in a counter-trend environment.

GBPJPY Daily Chart (Extended into support area)

US Dollar Hits Support, Euro Resistance; DXY, EURUSD Charts & More

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or an experienced trader, DailyFX has several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.