We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.37%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 73.40%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/104D8ytLwb
  • BNP Paribas sees Brent crude oil averaging $44/bbl in 2020 and $59/bbl in 2021
  • Japanese candlesticks are a popular charting technique used by many traders, and the shooting star candle is no exception. Learn about the shooting star candlestick and how to trade it here: https://t.co/OjTZOQEytM https://t.co/1TOiApxfjp
  • Commodities Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: -0.44% Oil - US Crude: -1.23% Silver: -1.39% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/mBBDXIGnyn
  • US is considering curbing special exemptions for Chinese firms, according to Politico
  • Forex Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: -0.06% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.22% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.23% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.29% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.39% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.58% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/rst0kqdDrJ
  • Coming up at half past the hour. Please join me if you can... https://t.co/R2GcBc8KXS
  • Indices Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: -0.79% Wall Street: -1.00% France 40: -1.13% FTSE 100: -1.35% Germany 30: -1.52% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/u3dcuMGQBh
  • Since mid-June USD/CAD has consolidated in a well-defined zone. Will today’s Fed members speeches (14:00- 18:00 and 19:00 UK) push the pair in a clear direction? #USDCAD, #USD, #Fed https://t.co/SxjnwNupP2
  • Join @MartinSEssex 's #webinar at 6:30 AM ET/10:30 AM GMT to learn more about trading #sentiment Register here: https://t.co/XUUPRdY06p https://t.co/KsjQit31hK
FX Price Action Setups in EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD

FX Price Action Setups in EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD

2019-06-27 19:00:00
James Stanley, Strategist
Share:

FX Price Action Talking Points:

  • As the Q3 open approaches the big question is whether the US Dollar might be able to fall further after a bearish theme showed up in June. After rallying for much of the period since last February, the US Dollar has broken-below the bottom of a rising wedge pattern after a dovish flip at the FOMC.
  • In this webinar I looked at a series of price action setups in FX major pairs with a selection included below.

US Dollar Takes on Bearish Tone Ahead of Q3 Open

The US Dollar’s bullish trend may have met its match in the month of June as a bearish theme appeared following a dovish flip at the Fed. But – is the bank at the point where rate cuts might be an actual possibility? The short-side of the US Dollar can remain as interesting as the second-half of 2019 nears.

US Dollar Daily Price Chart

eur usd eur/usd eurusd daily price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

EURUSD Continued Short Squeeze Potential

I’ve been following the long side of EURUSD over the past month as a series of bear traps had shown in the month of May. As USD weakness began to get ramped up, EURUSD turned higher and has continued to push in fresh higher-highs and higher-lows. This keeps the door open for a move up towards the 1.1448-1.1500 zone of prior resistance. Another area of potential support lurks below in the pair, taken from prior resistance around the 1.1250 area.

EURUSD Daily Price Chart

eurusd eur/usd eur usd daily price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

GBPUSD Sellers Defend 1.2750

For themes of USD strength, GBPUSD can remain of interest. Even as the brute portion of the recent USD move was getting priced-in, GBPUSD remained rather subdued, finding sellers at the 1.2750 level since late-May. This can keep the door open for bearish themes in the pair, looking for prices to move down towards the 1.2523 Fibonacci level that helped set the June low.

GBPUSD Four-Hour Price Chart

gbpusd gbp usd gbp/usd daily price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

AUDUSD Re-Tests Key Resistance

Also on the side of long-USD scenarios, AUDUSD has recently started to re-test a key zone on the chart. I had looked at this level earlier in June for resistance potential, and that led in to a hold of the highs which was followed by a fresh five-month-low. As USD weakness has gotten priced-in throughout the month, prices have bounced back. This keeps the door open for short-side scenarios on the pair, particularly for those looking at strategies around a return of USD-strength.

AUDUSD Four-Hour Price Chart

audusd aud/usd aud usd price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

USDJPY Tests Lower-High Resistance at Confluent Spot on the Chart

USDJPY has been one of my favored pairs for short side USD exposure for over a month now; and the pair has done a great job of mirroring overall risk tones for a good portion of this year. I had looked at short-side setups off of the 108.47-108.70 zone a couple of weeks ago; and it took a while for that to fill-in, but the initial 107.00 target was hit earlier this week. As I wrote on Tuesday, the pair may be due for a pullback, and with a strong area of prior support very nearby around the 108-handle, this could be an interesting area to follow. That price has since come into play and sellers have thus far responded, keeping the door open for a continuation of lower-lows and lower-highs in USDJPY.

USDJPY Eight-Hour Price Chart

usdjpy usd/jpy usd jpy price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.S. Dollar? Our DailyFX Forecasts have a section for each major currency, and we also offer a plethora of resources on Gold or USD-pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. Traders can also stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Forex Trading Resources

DailyFX offers an abundance of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Our trading guides bring our DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts and our Top Trading Opportunities; and our real-time news feed has intra-day interactions from the DailyFX team. And if you’re looking for real-time analysis, our DailyFX Webinars offer numerous sessions each week in which you can see how and why we’re looking at what we’re looking at.

If you’re looking for educational information, our New to FX guide is there to help new(er) traders while our Traits of Successful Traders research is built to help sharpen the skill set by focusing on risk and trade management.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.