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Trading Forecast – EURJPY, AUDUSD, Gold Price & Other Charts

Trading Forecast – EURJPY, AUDUSD, Gold Price & Other Charts

2019-04-09 11:00:00
Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
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Volatility is low, and as such opportunities aren’t in abundance, but nevertheless there still exists set-ups worthy of our attention. EURJPY is posting a corrective-looking formation as it nears resistance, so is AUDJPY. AUDUSD is trying to break a long-term trend threshold that at the very least puts shorts on notice, possibly brings longs into play. Gold found support and is poised to trade up to resistance here shortly; same looks to be the case for the Euro, too.

Technical Highlights:

  • EURJPY bearish set-up coming into view
  • AUDUSD trying to break long-term threshold
  • Gold price is heading towards t-line resistance

Fresh Q2 Forecasts are out for major markets and currencies. Check them out on the DailyFX Trading Guides page.

EURJPY bearish set-up coming into view

EURJPY continues to grind its way higher, but that may soon come to an end if the corrective-looking wedge has anything to say about it. Price is also working its way towards resistance, depending on whether you give it wiggle room or not, it is already there. Waiting for a breakdown out of the wedge before running with a short trading bias.

EURJPY 4-hr Chart (watch for wedge-break)

EURJPY 4-hr chart, watch for wedge-break

The Euro is coming out of a low (and inverse head-and-shoulders pattern) after trading near last month’s bottom. There is a bit of room to run higher before trend-lines converge down on EURUSD. For now, trading bias is higher until resistance is met or strongly negative price action shows up beforehand.

EURUSD 1-hr Chart (Higher out of inverse H&S pattern)

EURUSD 1-hr chart, higher out of inverse H&S pattern

EURUSD Daily Chart (has room to rally a little higher)

EURUSD daily chart, has room to rally a little higher

Find out where our analysts see the Euro going in the coming weeks based on both fundamental and technical factors – Q2 Euro Forecast

AUDUSD trying to break long-term threshold

AUDUSD is trying to cross trend resistance from January 2018, but even as such it still has resistance not around 7168 and the 200-day MA. I’ve been viewing this chart from a bearish perspective, but now looking to abandon that outlook in favor of a neutral bias. Longs don’t hold great appeal here from a risk/reward perspective due to the close proximity of fresh resistance levels.

AUDUSD Daily Chart (trying to break out)

AUDUSD daily chart, trying to break out

AUDJPY may present traders with an attractive set-up soon, as the top of the range in place this year is getting tested again. Keeping AUDJPY guided higher for now is the trend-line running up from the bottom of the range. The wedging price action up against resistance suggests a validation of resistance or breakout is nearing. A break of the sturdy underside trend-line will have the trading bias tilted towards seeing the low-end of the range. A breakout will shift focus towards bullish bets as long as a move outside the range is sustained and not a head-fake.

AUDJPY 4-hr Chart (wedging at top of range)

AUDJPY 4-hr chart, wedging at top of range

Gold price is heading towards t-line resistance

Gold is trading up off support after putting in a solid reversal last week. This is bringing the trend-line from February into focus and potential for a wedge to form. This would be a welcomed event as these patterns can lead to strong price moves once a breakout occurs.

Find out where our analysts see Gold heading in the coming weeks based on both fundamental and technical factors – Q2 Gold Forecast

Gold Daily Chart (Feb t-line nearing)

Gold daily chart, Feb t-line nearing

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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

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