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Trading Outlook for USD Index, EUR/USD, USD/JPY & More

Trading Outlook for USD Index, EUR/USD, USD/JPY & More

Paul Robinson, Strategist

The US Dollar Index (DXY) ran into resistance yesterday around numerous peaks created in recent months, keeping it contained for the moment. The same can be said about the downside in EUR/USD as the all-important 11500 level comes back into play. USD/JPY still has a little room to go, but has resistance zones in view from which a reversal could develop.

Technical Highlights:

  • USD Index (DXY) finds sellers at resistance
  • EUR/USD 11500 support keeping it afloat
  • USD/JPY running towards resistance zones

See where our team of analysts think your favorite markets and currencies are headed the next three months in the DailyFX Q4 Forecasts

USD Index (DXY) finds sellers at resistance

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rally is finding opposition at a series of peaks dating back to the spring. It didn’t post the most powerful yesterday off the mid-95s, but if it can’t soon trade on through look for weakness to set in. A breakout is likely to see the DXY trade to or better than the August high.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Chart (at Resistance)

US Dollar Index (DXY) daily chart at resistance

To see what key fundamental and technical factors are expected to drive the Dollar in the Q4 USD Forecast

EUR/USD 11500 support keeping it afloat

EUR/USD is the big driver of the DXY, so naturally it is moving on reverse and instead of resistance it is at a much defined level of support just above 11500. The euro has bounced off support a half-dozen times since the end of May, making it a very key spot. A hold keeps it buoyed or better, while a break will be viewed as a catalyst for keeping the train rolling downhill towards the August low.

EUR/USD Daily Chart (11500 Support holding for now)

EUR/USD daily chart with 11500 support holding for now

To see what key fundamental and technical factors are expected to drive EUR/USD in the Q4 Euro Forecast

USD/JPY running towards resistance zones

USD/JPY hasn’t been on our radar much, but with big overhead resistance zones only a short distance away that could change very soon. The first zone is from around 11420-11474 and the second is located in the 11500s. A strong turnabout at one of these zones is likely to pique further interest and a retracement at the least. We’ll be discussing further in the days ahead…

USD/JPY Daily Chart (Resistance ahead)

USD/JPY daily chart with resistance ahead

To see what key fundamental and technical factors are expected to drive USD/JPY in the Q4 JPY Forecast

Resources for Index & Commodity Traders

Whether you are a new or an experienced trader, DailyFX has several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.