Never miss a story from Paul Robinson

Subscribe to recieve updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from Daily FX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to Paul Robinson

You can manage you subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

USD/JPY is working its way closer to the head-and-shoulders pattern we began discussing earlier in the week. AUD/USD is being forcefully rejected from a cross-road of resistance, bear-flag coming further into view. USD/RUB looks headed for another big move, while gold also looks to be readying itself for a move of its own.

Technical Highlights:

  • USD/JPY head-and-shoulders to trigger soon?
  • AUD/USD finds resistance as expected, bear-flag building
  • Russian Ruble (USD/RUB) on verge of big move via symmetrical triangle
  • Gold ‘triangulating’ between important thresholds

Trading is extremely challenging without confidence, check out these 4 ideas to start building your confidence today.

USD/JPY head-and-shoulders to trigger soon?

USD/JPY is turning down after peaking just around the 200-day MA, and with the turn down comes the possibility of a ‘head-and-shoulders’ pattern. It won’t be fully validated of course until price trades through the neckline, but certainly a possibility in the week ahead.

USD/JPY 4-hr Chart (Head-and-shoulders?)

USD/JPY 4-hr chart with potential head-and-shoulders pattern building

For the intermediate-term fundamental/technical outlook, check out the Japanese Yen Forecast

AUD/USD finds resistance as expected, bear-flag building

AUD/USD was rejected from a cluster of lines (confluence of resistance) as one might expect to happen, but with it comes the further development of a more bearish price sequence via a bear-flag. The flag is nearly a month old, so should we see a breach of the under-side trend-line soon, a sizable move lower could develop.

AUD/USD Daily Chart (Bear-flag building)

AUD/USD daily chart with bear-flag

Russian Ruble (USD/RUB) on verge of big move via symmetrical triangle

Here is a pair we don’t discuss often, but the tantalizing prospects of another major move are too much to ignore. The symmetrical triangle building over the past two months suggests an explosive move could again develop soon. The combination of strong trend higher prior to its development and long-term support around the 61/60.50 level give the edge to longs. The size of the pattern implies a measured move of around 5 points, or up to ~67.

USD/RUB Daily Chart (Symmetrical triangle)

USD/RUB daily chart with symmetrical triangle forming above support

Gold ‘triangulating’ between important thresholds

While gold has seemed like a ‘dead’ market, it’s not one to sleep on at this time. Not with the triangle forming between the December 2016 trend-line and bottom of the multi-month range which dominated trade most of this year. Other markets have been on the move, it seems about time gold gets into gear and makes a move soon.

A break below the 2016 trend-line will have shorts in play, while a break back inside the range gives longs the upper-hand. Given trend and lack of support on a breakdown, shorts seen as likely to offer up the path of least resistance.

Gold Daily Chart (Triangle forming between notable lines)

Gold daily chart, wedging up for a big move between key levels

For the intermediate-term fundamental/technical outlook, check out the Gold Forecast

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or an experienced trader, DailyFX has several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX