News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 100.00%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 71.02%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • The price of gold turned sharply higher Wednesday, aided by a weaker US dollar, and the precious metal is now running into a cluster of resistance which may prove tricky to overcome in the short-term. Get your $XAUUSD market update from @nickcawley1 here:
  • Commodities Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: -0.38% Gold: -0.46% Oil - US Crude: -0.66% View the performance of all markets via
  • Forex Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: 0.42% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.31% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.28% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.01% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.06% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.10% View the performance of all markets via
  • #Silver is now trading around $25.70 after testing around $26.00 earlier today, its highest levels since early last week. $XAG $SLV
  • Indices Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.08% Wall Street: -0.01% FTSE 100: -0.14% Germany 30: -0.21% France 40: -0.31% View the performance of all markets via
  • Hey traders! Get your Thursday market update from @DailyFX Chief Strategist @JohnKicklighter 👇
  • Most US Indices have dipped slightly into the red during midday trading, with the Nasdaq remaining in the green. DOW -0.12% NDX +0.37% SPX -0.03% RUT -0.61% $DOW $QQQ $SPY $IWM
  • US #Dollar Outlook: $USD Snaps Back- Are Bears Taking Control? $DXY Levels -
  • $GBPJPY is testing the 142.00 level again today, its fourth attempt of the month. The pair is currently trading around its highest levels since September. $GBP $JPY
How Gold May Be in the Best Position for Future Market Difficulties

How Gold May Be in the Best Position for Future Market Difficulties

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

  • Global monetary policy has recently slid from the most extreme doves (like the ECB) to the most hawkish (Fed)
  • A collective slide in the most liquid fiat currencies and financial assets leaves few alternatives for lost investors
  • Gold proved itself a primary benefactor of global easing after the onset of QE, and a shift in risk may only intensify that

Do you want to learn how to trade event risk? Download the strategy guide on for trading news events on the DailyFX Trading Guides page.

Global monetary policy has shifted lower and there are few areas of the market that are due to draw any genuine value from the shift. One very prominent benefactor though is gold. Over the past weeks, we have seen the slow build up of hawkish rhetoric and speculation from the market heavily undercut. From the most hawkish end of the spectrum, the Federal Reserve's third rate hike for 2017 was thrown in jeopardy as the central bank let it be known in the minutes of their last meeting that week inflation pressures were proving more persistent than policy officials had anticipated. Fed Fund futures now places another 25 basis point hike before the end of the year at approximately 30 percent. At the other end of the spectrum, the largely speculatively-driven anticipation that the ECB was preparing for its eventual turn from an unpresented drive to negative rates and ballooning balance sheet was cast in serious doubt when the group reverted to lamenting the appreciation of its currency - something it had famously done in 2014 before the EUR/USD tumbled and they dove into the QE game.

As global monetary policy looks to deteriorate, we are left with few outlets for capital to move towards. Over the past few years we have seen the late and large escalations of dovish views from the likes of the ECB and BoJ drive down their respective currencies (Euro and Yen) as capital fled. But, in this dislocation of assets there were liquid alternatives to absorb the mass of funds seeking refuge and yield - particularly the US Dollar and US assets. Yet, as the steady rise in US rate forecast abates; the appeal of pushing funds back into US debt, equities and other assets leads investors to seek out other parking for their capital. Liquidity is exceptionally important in this equation however. If three of the most liquid financial centers (US, Eurozone and Japan) are offline and the fourth (UK) is facing a drawn out concern for Brexit through 2019; the need for an alternative grows. In addition to liquidity, investors are seeking out stability, history and little chance that an attached rate of return can drive investors away should it succumb to a global receding tide. There are few assets that can take up that particular call, but gold is certainly one of them.

Back in 2008, the world witnessed the worst of the financial crisis and then the rise of extraordinary monetary policy. That uniformly undermined currencies and financial assets in the world's large economies which in turn sent investors seeking the harbor offered by one of the most iconic havens for centuries. In gold, there was no yield to earn but there was in turn considerable liquidity, longevity and a proven hedge against inflation. But most important of all, this was not a market that could readily be targeted by an individual central bank or other regional policy body for dramatic devaluation. That was what traders needed then, and it may prove what they seek out again in the near future. While we are not on the cusp of a massive swell in uncharted easing programs - central banks collectively have reached the bounds of invention - we are far looser with policy than we ever were in 2008 to 2011 when the metal soared to above 1,900. What's more, if we add a sense of risk aversion to this equation, it would likely leverage gold's appeal. And, that is likely if monetary policy turns more aggressively towards the doves. Further easing from current levels takes on less potential for promoting speculative appetite and increasingly looks like an effort of desperation. That would both devalue fiat and promote the need of safety. We discuss the high risk and high profile scenarios that could drive gold to another incredible rally in today's Strategy Video.

To receive John’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE.

How Gold May Be in the Best Position for Future Market DifficultiesHow Gold May Be in the Best Position for Future Market DifficultiesHow Gold May Be in the Best Position for Future Market DifficultiesHow Gold May Be in the Best Position for Future Market Difficulties

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.