News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Oil - US Crude
Wall Street
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Commodities Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: -0.58% Oil - US Crude: -0.84% Silver: -3.68% View the performance of all markets via
  • See my #2020election special take on the following question: Will Trade Wars Persist After the US Election?
  • The British Pound price sell-off is now testing a critical medium-term support zone and the immediate focus is on inflection off this threshold. Get your $GBPUSD technical analysis from @MBForex here:
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.17%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 69.21%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • Federal Reserve Board announces an extension of rules, including prohibiting share repurchases, for big banks through Q4 to maintain capital resilience $SPX
  • US Equity Update (Wednesday Close): $DJI +1.20% $SPX +0.82% $NDX +0.84% $RUT +0.20% $VIX -0.42%
  • Indices Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: -0.15% US 500: -0.19% FTSE 100: -0.22% Germany 30: -0.37% France 40: -0.46% View the performance of all markets via
  • Following last night's debate, the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) announced today that they: "will be carefully considering the changes that it will adopt and will announce those measures shortly". #PresidentialDebate2020
  • USD strength has shown in September but that’s been a change-of-pace to the bigger-picture trend of weakness. Which will take over in Q4? Get your $USD market update from @JStanleyFX here:
  • Pelosi says stimulus talks with Mnuchin will continue - BBG
Webinar: Fundamental Forecast - Standards like NFPs or Themes Like Risk

Webinar: Fundamental Forecast - Standards like NFPs or Themes Like Risk

2017-04-03 19:57:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

  • Themes are in control of the market's pace and activity level - not specific event risk
  • The reaction to the failed US healthcare reform effort last week set the focus on risk trends, that theme hasn't carried
  • Event risk this week (NFPs, RBA decision, manufacturing activity and trade data) will struggle to tap deep themes

See what event risk in addition to the weekly fundamental webinar is on the DailyFX calendar and sign up to participate.

Last week, the fundamental drive behind the market was an initial indication that risk trends could finally be changing course as built-in confidence in the US President's key policy promises was faltering. Without a consistent drive, the fires beneath risk trends would remain stoked. This week, the fundamental high water mark remains as high as it has been these past months; but the catalysts lined up to stoke volatility promise the same degree of of motivaiton. International trade relations remains the most untapped and multi-faceted fundamental theme.

Looking ahead through the week, there are a number of meetings taking place among world powers that could further alter the flow of global capital. Though seemingly benign given the fixation on direct trade threats, the summit of NATO's foreign ministers can dislodge the very foundation of the relationships that have maintained stability for economic proliferation. Other gatherings are a little more explicit in their connection to recent swells of volatility. The G-20 meeting of economy ministers, US-China leaders meeting and EU ministers summit will loosen or tighten the connections between global powers.

The ultimate motivation for the financial markets boils down to what can move the market's participants in mass. While there are times in history where an array of themes can coincidently support a market run for an extended period, such happenstance rarely lasts for long. The most capable driver for systemic capital transmission is risk trends. Other themes can usher us in the journey to that outcome. Collective monetary policy, global growth and the functional relationships between the world's largest economies can all supply motviation; but they are unlikely to carry the banner on their own. As for scheduled event risk to start the dominos falling towards the ultimate trend; events such as the Friday NFPs, RBA rate decision, global trade and manufacturing PMIs will struggle fo rinfluence. We discuss some of the most improtant themes in the entire FX market and how they are attached to key data in the recording of this week's Weekly Fundamental Webinar.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.