Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
More View More
Technical Outlook: US Dollar, Cross-rates, Gold/Silver, Crude Oil & More

Technical Outlook: US Dollar, Cross-rates, Gold/Silver, Crude Oil & More

Paul Robinson,

Paul conducts webinars every Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. For details and a full line-up of upcoming live events, please see the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

In today’s webinar, we took a look at where markets lie ahead of the January jobs report, but focused more on charts of interest and potential trade set-ups looking out over the next week.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to etch out lower highs and lower lows on the 4-hr since peaking at the beginning of January, and continues to break support levels in the process. Looking at the daily chart, we had a nice bullish key reversal bar yesterday, which suggest near-term strength. But, again, the month-long downtrend remains in place and for as long as it does we remain in the bear camp. A break of the lower high, lower low sequence will call for a change in this bias. We took a look at several USD-based pairs, primarily focusing on EURUSD, NZDUSD, and USDCAD. Also, we covered several cross-rates; GBPNZD, EURNZD, GBP/JPY, as well as a few others.

Precious metals are finding difficulties in extending the advance since December. Silver, in particular, is at an interesting juncture with a bullish bottoming formation in play, but bumping up against the July trend-line. How silver plays out at that trend-line will determine whether the inverse H&S formation has legs or fails and brings in the possibility of the 7-month downtrend resuming.

Crude oil continues to be a choppy mess of a market, but there are signs in price action as well as futures market positioning which suggest it is forming a top. We need to see cleaner price action before drawing concrete conclusions, but the stage is set.

Global indices remain in a difficult trading environment. The S&P 500 has support below which will help keep the market propped up, but it’s unclear when the choppy trading environment will clear up. The DAX broke out recently only to reverse those gains in short-order. It also has support not far below to keep an eye on. Generally speaking, for now, we’re steering clear of indices until the picture becomes cleaner.

Trading Ideas and Guides

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can receive Paul’s analysis directly via email by signing up here.

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinonFX.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.