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Forecast - Will Volatility Turn to Trend for Dollar, Equities?

Forecast - Will Volatility Turn to Trend for Dollar, Equities?

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

  • Dollar climb extended, can NFPs and inflation measure push it further or is the fundamental move tapped?
  • An ECB rate decision will attempt to shake loose a market that is acclimated to easy policy bearings
  • A range of event risk threatens to generate volatility including: Aussie GDP, EZ jobs, Japanese CPI and more

Having trouble trading in the FX markets? This may be why.

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading. There is still plenty of volatility to be found in the FX and capital markets, but sustainable trends are still notably out of reach. Yet, with a focus on key fundamental themes; perhaps conviction is closer at hand many suspect. Relative monetary policy winds are once again carry the most action with the Dollar in particular charging higher on a nearly four-week run that received another mild boost to start the week. A thawing in rate hike doubts for the Greenback is one thing. Will the favored inflation gauge (PCE) and NFPs Friday offer true traction to return to 12-year highs? Meanwhile, the monetary policy behind the ECB and BoJ will be assessed with a rate decision for the former and key data for latter. Risk trends on the other hand seem to be starting off on a cold engine, but the breadth of its influence the speculative implications of benchmarks like the S&P 500 nearing record highs can act as a tripwire for convictions. Key themes and heavy event risk in the week ahead are discussed in this recording of the Fundamental webinar.

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