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Fundamental Outlook - Oil, Volatility and Central Banks Dominate

Fundamental Outlook - Oil, Volatility and Central Banks Dominate

2016-04-19 04:03:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

  • A contentious Doha generated massive gaps for Oil, commodity currencies and risk assets but no definable trend
  • Underlying market conditions continue to point to rising systemic risk papered over by risk taking
  • Watch the major central banks - from FOMC to ECB to BoJ - this week with scheduled speeches, data and meetings

Having trouble trading in the FX markets? This may be why.

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading. The trading week started off with a bang - not uncommon when considerable event risk carries the weekend. However, where the IMF-World Bank Spring Meeting conclusion carried the more obvious channel to global condition; the lurid appeal of oil volatility carried the day. The failure by OPEC and important non-OPEC producers to agree to a production cap sent a shock through energy markets, but the impact didn't stop there. There is considerable risk behind this response. Looking ahead, we may see these cracks in market stability grow more apparent, but there will certainly be motivation from monetary policy speculation. We discuss the key fundamental sparks in coordination with general market conditions in this weekly fundamental webinar recording.

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