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Fundamentals: IMF Outlook, Fed Timing, China GDP Top Catalysts

Fundamentals: IMF Outlook, Fed Timing, China GDP Top Catalysts

2016-04-11 19:59:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

  • Market conditions look set to change from the reserved but volatile activity levels this past week
  • Risk trends remain the most potent risk for the global financial system
  • Top event risk this week includes IMF's growth forecasts, China 1Q GDP, Fed timing and the start of US earnings season

Having trouble trading in the FX markets? This may be why.

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading. We are coming off a quiet trading week, but the period ahead looks to be more fundamentally ruckus. There is plenty of scheduled event risk to spur volatility for individual currencies; but the true potency rests with key themes that can be fully recharged to significant market trend. The greatest potential energy rests with recently dormant risk trends. Volatility figures have deflated substantially - the EURUSD-based CBOE volatility index dropped to its lowest level since December 2014 - but the fundamental issues are nevertheless still readily observable. All that is needed is a spark to motivate a redistribution of investors' exposure. Among the top event risk that can achieve this are the IMF's economic forecast and global stability report, China's GDP update and further Fed speculation. We discussed these key themes and how they will fold into current market conditions in this weekly fundamental webinar recording.

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