News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
Wall Street
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Crude and Brent oil are on track to extend higher as Gulf Coast supply disruptions and a positive OPEC report bolster sentiment. Uranium is on a massive surge, aided by the famous Wall Street Bets group. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here:
  • RT @michaeljburry: Read thread.
  • The Australian Dollar has retraced from August lows when looking at AUD/JPY and AUD/CAD. However, the AUD/NZD downtrend is intact, will a reversal there appear as well? Find out:
  • The S&P 500, Dow Jones and DAX 30 could be at risk of falling as retail traders continue increasing their upside exposure in these indices. What are the key technical levels to watch for? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:
  • The US Dollar continues to hold its ground against most ASEAN currencies as recent downtrends lose momentum. What is the road ahead for USD/SGD, USD/THB, USD/PHP and USD/IDR? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:
  • The Canadian Dollar has been caught in broad ranges against the Euro and the US Dollar, but can the upside bias in USD/CAD and EUR/CAD prolong? Find out here:
  • Want to hear my thoughts on the US Dollar? Check out yesterday's recording with #AuzBiz hosted by @KaraOrdway on 'The Trade' We discussed a #USD index, Treasury yields, $USDJPY, $AUDUSD and $NZDUSD
  • Gold has plunged nearly 5% off the Monthly high with the sell-off now probing key weekly support here at 1738/47- looking for a pivot here with the Fed interest rate decision on tap. Get your $XAUUSD market update from @MBForex here:
  • Feels like the market has been front-running next week’s FOMC announcement, which will reveal updated dot plot projections. Expectations clearly set for a more hawkish shift in guidance. That said, if the Fed does not deliver, US Dollar bulls could be disappointed. $USD $DXY
  • USD/CAD has been chopping around the past week-and-a-half, offering virtually no cues on its next direction. Get your market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here:
NFPs Presage Fed Forecasts for Dollar, Volatility for Equities

NFPs Presage Fed Forecasts for Dollar, Volatility for Equities

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

  • NFPs is historically one of the more consistent market-moving economic events
  • The influence of this event risk carries over to relative monetary policy and further global investor sentiment
  • Still-deflated interest rate expectations and a two-week rally in risk trends will skew the impact of certain scenarios

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors ahead of the NFPs - and after its release - on DailyFX or bring the figures to your charts using the FXCM SSI snapshot.

A tumble in the Dollar and rally from risk-oriented assets sets the stage for Friday's NFPs release. The US labor report is one of the most consistent market-moving scheduled events over through modern times. And, the context with which we have seen fundamentals development recently, that potential is just as urgent as ever. There are two general themes that this data will cater to: relative monetary policy and sentiment trends. The most volatile response will be afforded through risk appetite, which will emphasize the immediacy in data through payrolls and then the jobless rate. Given the recent rebound in sentiment, the skew is greatest for a 'risk-off' interpretation that favors the likes of USDJPY, NZDJPY and equities among other assets. With the Fed's bearings, doubt is already deeply sowed; so the more unsettling outcome would be one that supports a rebound in FOMC rate hikes in 2016. That would cater to EURUSD, GBPUSD and NZDUSD among others. We discuss the labor data, the skewed scenarios and market opportunities in today's Strategy Video.

To receive John’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.