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How the FOMC's Path Will Change the World and Your Portfolio

How the FOMC's Path Will Change the World and Your Portfolio

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• The FOMC decided to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at the Jan 27 meeting as heavily expected by the market

• Given the Fed's forecasts, its language and its limited time; markets can shape the line of speculation

• What the US central bank does moving forward can determine what happens with risk and growth globally

See the DailyFX Analysts' 1Q forecasts for the Dollar, Euro, Pound, Equities and Gold as well as our favorite 2016 trading opportunities in the DailyFX Trading Guides page.

As expected, the Federal Reserve held its benchmark lending rate to its range of 0.25 and 0.50 percent. But, that wasn't what really matters for global investors going forward. Instead, the central banks forward guidance through its forecasts updated in December and the language of its monetary policy statement this week will fuel speculation surrounding the connection between monetary policy and market stability / economic growth into the future. Where the market previously cast a blind eye to this connection in the past, it has become a source of great concern recently. The path the Fed takes will be an important catalyst to this big-picture global market performance. And, concern, even if the largest central bank capitulations and returns to supporting the system; it is unlikely to provide the same support it generated after the Great Financial Crisis. We look at the big picture implications of Fed policy and global risk in today's Strategy Video.

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