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Evaluating Existing Trades As Event Risk, Liquidity and Risk Shift

Evaluating Existing Trades As Event Risk, Liquidity and Risk Shift

2015-11-27 23:50:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

• This upcoming week's docket is stocked with events like NFPs, an ECB decision, Emerging Market GDP and much more

• Long equities and long Dollar are heavily leveraged positions that can be roiled by impending event risk

• Market conditions change, and so too can the appeal of trades - both those we haven't take and those we have

What are the Traits of Successful Traders? See what our studies have found to be the most common pitfalls of retail FX traders.

Theoretically, we take trades after careful consideration and extensive analysis. Yet, that doesn't mean that we can simply disengage from the position after the trade has been taken with stops and targets set. The market will inevitable change through the duration of our position, and that shifting landscape can alter the appeal of the exposure. We certainly don't want to stick it out with a trade whose primary motivation has fizzled because we haven't kept tabs or to simply save face with our initial evaluation. As economist John Keynes said, 'when my information changes, I alter my conclusions.' Just as true for trading as for economic assessment. Reevaluating our trades is a lesson that would be exceptionally well suited to current conditions. With an exceptionally dense economic docket ahead and liquidity risk hitting dangerous levels; we use this Strategy Video to look at a few of the most popular trades that could use a second look: long equities (as a proxy for risk) and long Dollar.

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