Talking Points:
• Event risk this week is dense, which will create difficult trading conditions for breakouts and trends
• The FOMC rate decision is the epicenter of this week's listings, with sway over the Dollar and risk trends
• Other top releases include US and UK GDP, the BoJ rate decision and Chinese 5th plenum
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Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading. This week's docket is exceptionally dense, and that doesn't make for easy trading. The top two themes for dictating trend and drive - risk and divergent monetary policy - will be further leveraged this week under the pressure of high-profile event risk. At the center of its all, we have the FOMC rate decision. While there is a very low probability of a hike priced into this event, a clearer outlook for policy moving forward would generate plenty of speculative drive itself. What's more, the lead up to that event risk will have investor anxious and sidelined. Aside from the Fed gathering mid-week, we have plenty of other data that needs to be accounted for when placing trades including: China's 5th Plenum; UK and US 3Q GDP; the BoJ and RBNZ rate decisions; and the Fed's favored inflation reading among other listings.
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