News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Going live shortly at the link below! Talking inflation, the Fed and what it all means for the $SPX and $NDX and $GLD https://t.co/E2HHhB5GWD
  • The Dollar's rebound following the CPI release is re-forming the 'right shoulder' on the $AUDUSD's Head-and-Shoulders pattern that has been developing throughout 2021. Run up started with the Mar 19, 2020 reversal low, so a lot to correct if 0.7550 eventually gives https://t.co/NrAU370cwl
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: 0.06% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.35% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.59% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.71% 🇦🇺AUD: -1.22% 🇳🇿NZD: -1.35% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/SqTzV7xT3f
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 1.18% Germany 30: 0.72% France 40: 0.64% Wall Street: -0.84% US 500: -1.12% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/t2cIOfCEmP
  • Hey traders! The top story is US inflation figures. What other data are we banking on? Find out from @DailyFX Chief Strategist @JohnKicklighter 👇 https://t.co/5g8GYPuFks
  • US Dollar bulls send the broader DXY Index sharply higher following red-hot inflation data. Get your market update from @RichDvorakFX here:https://t.co/27CGGOsTxh https://t.co/3uERS5kICD
  • Hey traders! The Top story is US inflation figures. What other data are we banking on? Find out from @DailyFX Chief Strategist @JohnKicklighter 👇 https://t.co/ziropKKK2E
  • I don't envy the Fed officials today. These headline and core CPI figures are going to be distressing. Maintaining the 'inflation is transitory' view is the central bank equivalency of HODL or diamond hands https://t.co/jm99h6f89u
  • Commodities Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.70% Gold: -0.39% Silver: -0.77% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/bkkaIuBhqz
  • Ten-Year US Treasury yields breaking out above 165-basis points following notably hotter-than-expected inflation data this morning. Headline and core CPI both topped market forecast with readings of 4.2% and 3.0%, respectively. I previewed this scenario yesterday on @tradingview. https://t.co/Fgc0RZe2nw https://t.co/VHmkcuJm9p
Video: Heavy Speculation of a Rate Cut Marks RBA Decision as Volatility Event

Video: Heavy Speculation of a Rate Cut Marks RBA Decision as Volatility Event

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• According to swaps, the market is pricing in a 75 percent probability of an RBA 25bp rate cut Tuesday

• The same level of confidence for a rate cut was priced in for February's move, but the reaction surprised

• Given the market expectations, the more surprising and likely impactful move would come with no change

Want to develop a more in-depth knowledge on the market and strategies? Check out the DailyFX Trading Guides we have produced on a range of topics.

Back in February, the RBA cut its benchmark lending rate for the first time in 16 months to a record low. Yet, despite the policy shift, the Aussie Dollar's immediate losses were quickly retraced before the day closed. Anticipation acclimatized the speculative ranks and short-circuited the follow through potential on the event. Heading into the May rate decision, there are clear expectations (a 75 percent probability priced in) of another rate cut. Implied volatility is also showing traders are prepared for an active response to the event. However, will a realized cut result with the same kind of response as the February move? What happens should the central bank hold? What pairs are better suited to different scenarios. We focus on that in today's Strategy Video.

Sign up for John’s email distribution list, here.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES