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Strategy Video: Between Status Quo and Systemic Market Shifts

Strategy Video: Between Status Quo and Systemic Market Shifts

2014-12-23 03:17:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

• Skepticism in the 'status quo' buildup of risky positioning has grown to destabilizing levels

• Whether fundamentally or technically-derived, big market shifts are in store for FX and capital markets

• However, liquidity as a 'market condition' will delay that inevitable transition

Want to develop a more in-depth knowledge on the market and strategies? Check out the DailyFX Trading Guideswe have produced on a range of topics.

With the S&P 500 pushing record highs and EURUSD driven to the bounds of its decade-long range, big market moves are in store. However, where these major market developments may be inevitable, their timing can be stretched due to 'market conditions'. The impending liquidity drain with the year-end holidays will diminish the market's capacity to jump start major moves - whether breakout, reversal or trend development - and warp the signals that we usually look for in traditional technical and fundamental cues. As appealing as many of these market opportunities may seem, it is critical to account for capacity. We discuss liquidity, seasonality, volume and other important aspects of the market that determine year-end trade potential in today's Strategy Video.

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