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Fed, ECB Policy Forecasts Shape EURUSD, Combined They Shape Sentiment

Fed, ECB Policy Forecasts Shape EURUSD, Combined They Shape Sentiment

2014-09-22 18:03:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

• This past week's Fed decision, ECB stimulus injection and Scotland Referendum redirected currency bearings

• Taken together, the general view of money policy holds a fragile balance of sentiment and complacency

• We look at how USD, EUR, GBP and JPY stand relatively to each other; and how they set the 'bigger picture'

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Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading. The heavy event risk of this past week has shifted the focus and balance of power for majors like the US Dollar, Euro and Pound. Individually, these regional economies have seen their monetary policy views move more definitively to extremes that place their respective currencies in greater fundamental contrast. However, there is another aspect to these changes to be found in their cummulative position. What happens to sentiment and complacency should the Fed's exit from stimulus expansion not be fully offset by the ECB's effort to increase its own? We discuss relative position and 'big picture' in the weekly webinar.

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