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Scenarios for ECB, RBA and Other Central Bank Decisions This Week

Scenarios for ECB, RBA and Other Central Bank Decisions This Week

2014-09-01 20:29:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

• There are five major central bank rate decisions scheduled this week: the RBA, BoC, BoJ, BoE and ECB

• While the ECB decision is the most likely volatility driver, the others carry significant potential

• Between increased market speculation and the proper pair, we can identify better opportunities

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There are five major central bank rate decisions scheduled this week, and more than likely not one will alter policy. Yet, there is still considerable potential for volatility following most of the decision. The market-moving element is not necessarily a change in policy but rather speculation from the market leading up to the event. Changes in policy forecasts - from the BoE's future rate hikes to the ECB's adoption of an asset-purchase program - can generate far more movement. In today's Strategy Video, we discuss the RBA, BoC, BoE and ECB rate decisions for their volatility potential as well as the pairs that are better positioned for different outcomes.

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