Fundamental Forecast: EURUSD Concentrates Exposure to Risk Trends, Monetary Policy
• The ECB decision and May NFPs were last week's top event risk - and they further levered fundamental risk
• Already a top theme, risk trends is growing increasingly extended and unstable
• Triggers for risk trends and monetary policy ease this week, but it may not take much to turn trends
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Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading. These sessions are held live every Monday at 16:30 GMT. Is EURUSD becoming the most risk-sensitive currency pair amongst the majors? This past week's top event risk - the ECB rate decision and May NFPs - generated unexpected outcomes initially; but the developments further leverage a depedency on external support to backstop investor appetite amid concerns that positioning is already over-extended. The ebb and flow of investor confidence is grows with importance each week, but this week's data will also present stand out volatility threats on specific monetary policy regimes.
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