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Trading Video: Dollar Continues to Dive While Yen Goads BoJ

Trading Video: Dollar Continues to Dive While Yen Goads BoJ

2016-05-03 02:28:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

  • The Dollar opened the week on the same back foot it left off on Friday, hitting fresh 11-month lows
  • A rise for the Japanese Yen and Euro continue on fading central bank influence is a persistent but passive theme
  • Top docket influence through Tuesday comes from the RBA decision and a second round of Fed speak

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the FXCM SSI readings on DailyFX's sentiment page.

The drive behind this past week's most profound trends has softened to start off this new trading period, but the bearings remain. An ebb in confidence for monetary policy directing exchange rate and capital market performance has pushed the Euro and Japanese Yen to further gains - and EURUSD and USDJPY to fresh 8 month highs and 18 month lows respectively. Risk trends are still unbalanced from a multi-month climb, but fear has yet to exert the same kind of influence over the market as monetary policy. Perhaps the most productive move would come on behalf of the Greenback. The three-day drop in USDollar is the second most aggressive plunge we have seen from the index in two-and-a-half years. Ahead, the fundamental milestones thin out in both number and scale. Over the upcoming session, a split forecast for the RBA will open up Tuesday's Asia trade session and Fed speak will attempt to guide speculation. Thematically, risk appetite and confidence in the central banks' influence over the markets should be carefully monitored as they can swell without a data spark. We look at the market's bearings and pace in today's Trading Video.

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