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A Sharp Drop in Risk Blamed on China Data, But Gravity May Be at Work

A Sharp Drop in Risk Blamed on China Data, But Gravity May Be at Work

2015-10-14 00:46:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

• A slip from the equities, Yen crosses and other risk-aligned assets has nascent bulls unnerved

• The recent risk rebound was already losing girth, and generally the upswing looked to be fighting the current

• Risk and rate positioning looks stretched on the Dollar, Pound, Australian and New Zealand Dollars

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The uneven extension of the risk appetite run to start the week turned to outright selling this past session. Sharp drops in equity futures, Yen crosses and commodity currencies joined the previous slip in emerging markets, high yield assets and commodities. Now, we face the market debate over whether this slip is a return to true form or simply a brief reprieve from the rebuilding of risk exposure. That is likely to be a fundamental deliberation more than a technical one going forward. Meanwhile, the Pound has extended its drop on weak inflation data while the Dollar ticked up despite another dovish voice - leading traders to wonder where deflated rate forecasts are 'priced in'. With more important data ahead and a risk move to assess; we review the markets, its drivers and scenarios in today's Trading Video.

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