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Risk Trends, Emerging Markets and Fed Forecasting Tempt Volatility

Risk Trends, Emerging Markets and Fed Forecasting Tempt Volatility

2015-10-01 01:03:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

• We are heading into a new month and quarter that typically sees a jump in volume and volatility leverage trend

• After a rebound in equities Wendesday, traders are eagerly awaiting the dominant trend on risk appetite

Yen crosses and equity indexes now have a buffer to key breaks, but the overriding pressure

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The start to the fourth quarter will bring a heavy economic docket. The macro economic calendar for the upcoming session covers the kind of event risk that is capable of not only generating volatility for individual currencies and regions, but reviving broader sentiment trends as well. Conviction and bearing in sentiment is a key concern for investors given the slump of the past few months, and it has been cast in even deeper speculation with Wednesday's rebound. Looking to the backdrop for investment trends and considering the seasonal factors for volatility and participation in October; the risk certainly remains. That is especially true if key catalysts hit important 'fear' buttons. With PMI figures from the BRICS, Fed speeches and global growth data on tap; we have just the right mix to get an ignition. We assess the risk and opportunity for a new day, month and quarter in today's Trading Video.

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