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Global Equities Strain to Hold Sentiment Up, Dollar Ready for Fed Talk

Global Equities Strain to Hold Sentiment Up, Dollar Ready for Fed Talk

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• Monday's broad and heavy risk aversion move wouldn't carry through to key breaks...at least not yet

• Key levels from the Nikkei 225, DAX, GBPJPY and USDJPY still offer a good near-term view of 'risk' boundaries

• The Dollar will come back into focus Wednesday as Fed officials weigh in on monetary policy and liquidity

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Another swell of volatility has stalled before critical technical moves were made. Monday's broad selling pressure in risk-oriented assets pushed a number of benchmarks to the precipice; but calm this past session has left us balancing. Given the motivation for this week's abrupt start traces back to swoons in assets such as Emerging Markets, high yield and biotech shares; it seems financial headlines are still carrying more influence than sheer speculative positioning. However, accounts of the wave of capital outflows from previous favorite assets and ETFs will keep sentiment off balance and the risk of a true breakdown dangerously close. As we await the verdict on sentiment trends, the Fed's rate timing conversation will be revived with a number of key speeches scheduled (including a distinctly risk-sensitive discussion on liquidity with New York Fed President Dudley). We discuss the fundamentals, technicals and market opportunities in today's Trading video.

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