Talking Points:
• Volatility is likely to pick up ahead as heavy event risk on key items is due
• A Greece deadline, Yellen testimony, China GDP, BoJ rate decision and UK jobs data are top event risk
• There is considerable capacity for 'risk' derived market movement, but remain vigilant on monetary policy
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A relative calm market backdrop this past session belies the sizable risk of volatility ahead. There is a round of event risk that will can certainly trigger heavy swings in specific markets, but a number of the items also carry the potential to shift deeper currents in global sentiment. For the big-ticket items; we return to the sources of considerable financial uncertainty in Eurozone stability with a key Greek vote and China's influence on the system with its upcoming GDP release. Relative monetary policy - the dominant driver for the past 12-15 months - will be revived by Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen's testimony following last week's remarks that she still expects hikes this year. These events will have their targeted influence (Euro, Aussie and Dollar respectively), but we also have a cache of data that is distinctly more local. UK jobs data, a BoJ rate decision and BoC policy update are all discreet events. We this swell of event risk in today's Trading Video.
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