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  • $ARKK down to a fresh three month low but finding some support on this confluent fibo level. If the rates theme continues could add more pressure here
  • tech side of the $USD forecast already starting to fill in with today's bullish breakout 😎
  • I just finished my USD 4Q fundamental forecast with @JStanleyFX (who did the techs) at the end of last week. Today certainly jazzes up my assessment
  • The S&P 500 has opened with a sharp gap lower while the Dollar pushes an 11 month high. DailyFX's @JohnKicklighter talks about volatility, debt limits, and Fed forecasts!
  • $SPX trying to hold support after failing at resistance yday $SPY $ES currently about 4% off of the all time high
  • Nasdaq tumbles 2% $NDX
  • The ICE's trade-weighted $DXY Dollar Index is at an 11 month high today. Notably, its largest component - $EURUSD - has not slipped the August low
  • Stocks extend fall, Dow Jones down 1% following worse-than-expected US Consumer Confidence #trading $DJIA
  • Big enough disappointment to heap onto the risk aversion but not bad enough to restart speculation of a delayed November taper from the FOMC. Net net, further bearish pressure on $SPX
  • The $SPX has opened today with its biggest bearish gap since last Monday's tumble. Officially squashes the recovery momentum and now we are more balanced in facing fundamental event risk - bullish or bearish
Forex Trading Video: Critical Week for EURUSD, Equities and Volatility

Forex Trading Video: Critical Week for EURUSD, Equities and Volatility

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• Greece will dominate the headlines to start the new trading week with a crucial creditor vote

• Risk trends may prove the more explosive development with SPX pressure at over a 20-year high

• Rate expectations will return with the USD leading the way and China will release 2Q GDP

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The way forward looks very volatile and risky. Both active themes and scheduled event risk threaten to generate major market swings. Having already kept the FX market on edge these past months - especially over the past two weekends - the Euro will once again dominate headlines as Greece's creditors decide whether to accept its proposals on what some officials have dubbed the final opportunity to negotiate. There is plenty of fundamental weight to keep the Euro sinking, but resolution to this uncertainty can certainly offer the currency a relief rally. Meanwhile, risk trends are the more pervasive and leveraged theme to watch. The S&P 500 may have seemed contained this past week, but the pressure behind this sentiment benchmark is the highest in decades. Furthermore, if headlines and speculative trends weren't enough, there is an extensive calendar of items that will recharge relative monetary policy trends in the currency market. We wade through the very dense week ahead in this weekend Trading Video.

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.