Expect Volatility but Question Trends for Stocks, Dollar, Euro
• A few well-defined trends developed this past week including a strong Dollar and defiant Euro
• In the week ahead, there is an abundance of high-profile event risk which can stir markets
• Top event risk includes US NFPs, a Greek IMF payment, ECB and RBA rate decisions among other items
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A few clear trends arose from this past week's markets. One of the most dominant performances was the Dollar's recovery. Fed member rhetoric and a round of data helped to remind FX participants that the US central bank is well ahead of the curve when it comes to the launch of a tightening phase of monetary policy. Yet, as impressive as the Greenbacks' move this past week was, it is not firmly rooted enough to defy significant fundamental changes. Facing important event risks of their own, the likes of the Euro, Aussie Dollar and even equities are even less stable in their progress. The chances of volatility are exceptional high, while the conviction behind recent trends are flimsy. Consider high-level event risk before taking any new trades next week or use it to identify more stable pairs. We discuss the deep economic calendar ahead and the market we are wading into in this week's Trading Video.
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