Trading Video: Sentiment, Dollar and Euro All At-Risk Next Week
• The economic docket is thick with high-impact event risk next week
• A concentrated focus on US monetary policy - FOMC and US GDP - makes the Dollar particularly exposed
• Greek negotiations, UK GDP, BoJ and RBNZ rate decisions, Chinese investor exuberance are all on deck
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One thing is certain about the week ahead of us: regardless of our market, we are facing an exorbitant level of risk. Coming off a lull in catalyst for key fundamental themes and a retreat in implied volatility measures, the dense field of scheduled event risk threatens the ignition of long-dry tinder: skepticism. Speculative appetite remains the most fluid and periled theme in the global financial market given the dependency on quiet to leverage low returns. However, as we have seen in moves like those from EURUSD, Yen crosses and other currencies; the most proactive theme remains monetary policy. On that front, the Dollar is facing concentrated event risk in a FOMC decision and US GDP reading that can force the currency's tentative turn. Meanwhile, Greek negotiations, UK 1Q GDP, an RBNZ and BoJ rate decision, and a forest of high-level data releases will clog financial headlines. We discuss the risk as well as the trade potential in this weekend Trading Video.
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