Trading Video: Expect Volatility for the Dollar, Equities, Euro...Everything
• The S&P 500 hit a record high and VIX deflated this past week, but skepticism runs high
• A range of rate decisions - ECB, BoE, RBA and BoC - will generate different levels of volatility
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Like the positioning of forces ahead of a great battle, the markets ended this past week with fine adjustments in anticipation of heavy event risk ahead. General sentiment - at least its agents like the S&P 500 and VIX - should remain our first concern. Quiet in price action is increasingly a concern rather than reassurance against the backdrop that has unfolded these past months. With a weathered eye on risk appetite trends, we have major scheduled event risk and engaged themes to keep FX traders on their toes. The USDollar's tight range will again be put to the test between PCE inflation and NFP figures acting on rate expectations. The Euro will trade drawn out and trying Greek discussions for the ECB's activation of its QE program. Perhaps the most pressurized event risk however goes to rate decisions from two lesser covered central banks - the RBA and BoC - as the market debates the chances of subsequent cuts. We look at what will move the market next week in this weekend Trading Video.
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