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Greece Talks Break Down without EURUSD, Beware Pound and Yen

Greece Talks Break Down without EURUSD, Beware Pound and Yen

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• Greece and its creditors maintain their standoff but EURUSD doesn't collapse

• UK inflation data the next catalyst or hurdle for the Pound's recovery

Yen crosses tied to risk trends, but the BoJ's policy standing tells us how long that rope is

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Apparently, the optimistic tone surrounding Greece's negotiations into the close last week were exaggerated. Monday brought the next meeting between the beleaguered country and its creditors - and the outcome was derisive and acrimonious. As the stand off drags on, we are closing in on deadlines that are less likely to change - the ECB deciding when to cut off Greek banks' ELA access on Wednesday and Eurogroup President Dijsselbloem saying this week is the only window for negotiation. If we hit these dates without progress, the Euro is unlikely to remain unscathed. Meanwhile, scheduled event risk is looking to add to a picture dominated by amorphous themes (Greece, risk trends, an over-extended dollar). In particular, the Pound's exposure to the upcoming UK CPI data and looming BoJ rate decision should draw FX traders' attention. We discuss themes, event risk and setups in today's Trading Video.

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