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Beware Risk Trends as Traders Question Oil Market's Implications

Beware Risk Trends as Traders Question Oil Market's Implications

2014-11-28 23:15:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

• Trading conditions were weighed by Thanksgiving, but market participants are not hiding their suspicion

• While the dramatic drop in Oil prices this past week was market-specific, many believe its impact is not

• Risk trends and monetary policy speculation will be fed by speculation and event risk in the week ahead

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Trading conditions in the market's most exaggerated benchmarks seemed to settle this past week - the S&P 500 carved out its smallest weekly range since seven years. Yet, suspicion in the a sustained advance from these outperformers grows louder and louder. On the one hand, we are heading into the trading month that historicaly produces the strongest returns and lowest volume. On the other, we the evidence of economic struggle, speculative flight and financial instability have grown to levels that they cannot be ignored. With the US Oil collapse this past week drawing our focus on growth forecasts and the relationship across speculative assets alongside a range of event risk targeted at monetary policy speculation; we discuss the potential for volatility and its catalysts in the weekend Trading Video.

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