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Trading Video: On Volatility Watch with Euro and Yen Crosses

Trading Video: On Volatility Watch with Euro and Yen Crosses

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• Expectations of a massive 'risk trends' swing has faded with the US holiday liquidity drain

• Monetary policy views have proven a more capable FX driver, and its influence remains undisturbed

• Heavy event risk and open-ended fears for the Euro and Yen make for specific trade opportunity

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The US liquidity drain is upon us; and with this major session's absence, there will be a sizable fire break in the 'risk' theme. Yet, this shift doesn't necessarily scuttle a wide range of trading opportunities. Much of the volatility and trend development we have found in the FX market over the past weeks and months have been founded on the basis of monetary policy rather than the elemental balance between yield appetite and haven demand. While the data supporting Fed forecasts has dried up; there is high-level event risk scheduled for the market's most dovish majors: the Euro and Yen. We look at what lies ahead for event risk, volatility and trade potential in today's Trading Video.

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